Solved Problems · Set 26

Load Characteristics and Utilisation

Part 6 · Operation and Economics — what the system is actually asked to supply, and what it costs to supply it. Chapter 30 of the textbook.

Prof. Mithun Mondal 20 solved · 12 practice · 3 challenge GATE · ESE · University

Set 26 — Load Characteristics and Utilisation

Every calculation in the previous twenty-five chapters took the load as given. This one asks where it comes from. Twenty worked problems build a single supply area's daily load curve, extract every factor an engineer quotes from it, use the load duration curve to decide how much base-load and how much peaking plant to build, and then turn the same curve into a tariff and a power factor correction scheme. The arithmetic is elementary; the difficulty is entirely in knowing which quantity answers which question, and the problems are arranged to make those distinctions unavoidable.

Textbook Chapter 30 · 20 solved · 12 practice · 3 challenge · 12 MCQs

i Method Recap
  • The four factors, and the questions they answer: load factor = average/maximum demand — how evenly the load is spread; demand factor = maximum demand/connected load — how much of what is installed is ever used at once; diversity factor = sum of individual maxima/system maximum — how much the consumers' peaks miss each other; plant capacity factor = energy generated/(installed capacity × time) — how hard the plant works.

  • Load factor is bounded by capacity factor. \(\text{CF} = \text{LF}\times\dfrac{P_{\max}}{P_{\text{installed}}}\), so capacity factor can never exceed load factor.

  • The load duration curve reorders the chronological curve by magnitude. Its area is still the energy, but the horizontal axis has become "hours at or above this demand" — which is what the plant-mix decision needs.

  • The plant-mix rule. Base-load plant has high capital and low running cost; peaking plant the reverse. Base capacity is worth adding up to the point where its duration on the load duration curve equals the break-even utilisation \(h^* = \dfrac{F_b-F_p}{R_p-R_b}\).

  • The two-part tariff \(C = A\cdot(\text{kVA of MD}) + B\cdot(\text{kWh})\) recovers fixed costs from the demand charge and running costs from the energy charge — so a consumer's average tariff falls as his load factor rises.

  • Power factor correction is bought for the demand charge, not the energy. \(Q_C = P(\tan\phi_1-\tan\phi_2)\), and the saving is \(A\,P(1/\cos\phi_1-1/\cos\phi_2)\) per year.

  • The one identity to keep straight: load factor, demand factor and diversity factor are properties of the load; capacity factor, use factor and reserve are properties of the plant. Confusing the two groups is the commonest error in this chapter.

VideoWalkthrough
Problem 1FoundationThe Daily Load Curve

A supply area's demand over a typical weekday is: 30 MW from 00:00–06:00, 50 MW from 06:00–08:00, 80 MW from 08:00–12:00, 70 MW from 12:00–14:00, 85 MW from 14:00–18:00, 110 MW from 18:00–22:00 and 45 MW from 22:00–24:00. Find the daily energy, the average demand and the maximum demand, and interpret the shape.

Solution

The energy is the area under the curve. Since the curve is piecewise constant, the integral is a sum of rectangles:

PeriodHoursDemand (MW)Energy (MWh)
00:00–06:00630180
06:00–08:00250100
08:00–12:00480320
12:00–14:00270140
14:00–18:00485340
18:00–22:004110440
22:00–24:0024590
Total24—1610

The hours must sum to 24 — the first arithmetic check, and one that catches most transcription errors immediately.

The three headline numbers:

\[ E_{\text{day}} = \mathbf{1610\ MWh} \qquad P_{\max} = \mathbf{110\ MW} \qquad P_{\text{av}} = \frac{1610}{24} = \mathbf{67.083\ MW} \]

The average demand is the height of a rectangle of the same area — the flat load that would deliver the same energy over the day. It is not the arithmetic mean of the seven demand levels, which would be 67.14 MW by coincidence here but is a meaningless quantity in general because the periods have different lengths.

Reading the shape. Four features are visible and every one of them has a cause:

FeaturePeriodCause
Overnight trough, 30 MW00:00–06:00continuous industry, street lighting, refrigeration
Morning rise to 80 MW06:00–12:00domestic waking, commerce and industry starting
Midday dip to 70 MW12:00–14:00lunch break in commerce and light industry
Evening peak, 110 MW18:00–22:00domestic lighting and cooking on top of remaining commerce

The evening peak is the defining feature of a mixed domestic-commercial system: it occurs because domestic demand rises just as commercial demand has not yet fallen. A purely industrial area has no evening peak, and its load curve is nearly flat.

The ratio that governs everything else:

\[ \frac{P_{\max}}{P_{\min}} = \frac{110}{30} = 3.67 \]

The system must have plant capable of 110 MW, but for six hours a day it needs only 30 MW. That mismatch — capacity idle most of the time, yet indispensable for four hours — is the whole economic problem of electricity supply, and every quantity in this chapter is a way of measuring one aspect of it.

Annualising, as a first approximation. Taking this as a typical day:

\[ E_{\text{year}} \approx 1610\times365 = 587\,650\ \text{MWh} = \mathbf{587.65\ GWh} \]

In practice weekends run 20–30% below weekdays and the seasonal variation is larger still, so a real annual figure requires eight or twelve representative day-types weighted by their frequency. The single-day approximation typically overstates annual energy by 10–15%.

Why the chronological curve matters as well as the reordered one of Problem 3:

QuestionNeeds
How much energy? How much plant?either curve
How fast must plant ramp?chronological only
When should maintenance be scheduled?chronological only
What plant mix minimises cost?duration curve

The ramp between 14:00 and 18:00 is 25 MW in four hours, and between 22:00 and midnight the load sheds 65 MW in two. Reordering the curve by magnitude destroys exactly that information, which is why both forms are kept.

The load curve is the specification the whole power system is built to meet, and its most important feature is that the peak is 3.7 times the trough. Everything in this chapter is a measurement of the cost of that ratio.
Answer\(E = \mathbf{1610}\) MWh/day, \(P_{\max} = \mathbf{110}\) MW at 18:00–22:00, \(P_{\text{av}} = \mathbf{67.083}\) MW; annual energy ≈ 587.65 GWh
Problem 2FoundationLoad Factor

Define load factor, compute it for the system of Problem 1, and explain precisely why a high load factor is desirable.

Solution

The definition:

\[ \text{LF} = \frac{\text{average demand}}{\text{maximum demand}} = \frac{E/T}{P_{\max}} = \frac{E}{P_{\max}T} \]

The last form is the useful one: it is the energy actually supplied divided by the energy that would have been supplied had the maximum demand persisted for the whole period. It is a dimensionless number between 0 and 1.

For this system:

\[ \text{LF} = \frac{67.083}{110} = \frac{1610}{110\times24} = \frac{1610}{2640} = \mathbf{0.6098} \]

A daily load factor of 61%, which is typical for a mixed urban supply. Note the period must be stated: the same system's annual load factor is lower, because the annual peak exceeds any single day's peak while the annual average does not rise correspondingly.

Why it matters is a cost argument, not an engineering one. The cost of supply splits into two parts:

\[ \text{annual cost} = \underbrace{F\cdot P_{\max}}_{\text{capital, set by the peak}}+\underbrace{R\cdot E}_{\text{fuel, set by the energy}} \]
\[ \text{cost per kWh} = \frac{F\cdot P_{\max}}{E}+R = \frac{F}{T\cdot\text{LF}}+R \]

The fixed component per unit of energy is inversely proportional to load factor. Doubling the load factor halves the capital cost carried by every kilowatt-hour sold, without changing the fuel cost at all.

Quantified for this system. With annual fixed cost \(F = \) Rs 8000/kW and running cost \(R = \) Rs 2.50/kWh:

Load factorFixed componentRunningTotal (Rs/kWh)
0.303.0442.505.544
0.452.0302.504.530
0.60981.4982.503.998
0.801.1422.503.642
1.000.9132.503.413

Using \(F/(8760\times\text{LF})\). Raising the load factor from 0.30 to 0.61 cuts the cost of supply by 28%, and every rupee of that saving comes from spreading the same capital over more kilowatt-hours.

Typical values, which are worth knowing because they differ by a factor of four:

Consumer or systemLoad factor
Domestic consumer, individual0.10–0.20
Commercial premises0.25–0.45
Single-shift industry0.30–0.40
Three-shift industry0.70–0.85
Mixed urban distribution system0.55–0.70
National system, annual0.60–0.75
Street lighting0.40–0.45

The individual domestic figure is the striking one: a household with a 4 kW maximum demand consuming 300 kWh a month has a load factor of 0.10. It is only aggregation that raises the system figure to 0.61 — the subject of Problem 5.

How a utility raises load factor, since it cannot change consumers' habits directly:

MeasureMechanism
Time-of-day tariffprices off-peak energy lower
Maximum demand chargepenalises peaky consumption directly
Interruptible supply contractsindustrial load shed at system peak
Off-peak storage heating / water heatingmoves domestic load into the trough
Encouraging three-shift workingflattens industrial demand
Pumped storagethe utility's own trough-filling load

Every one of these is an attempt to buy energy in the trough and sell it at the peak, and each is worth up to the difference between peak and off-peak marginal cost — computed for this system in Problem 11.

Load factor does not measure how much energy is sold; it measures how efficiently the capital is used to sell it. The fixed cost per kilowatt-hour is inversely proportional to it, which is why every tariff and demand-side measure in the industry exists to raise it.
Answer\(\text{LF} = 1610/(110\times24) = \mathbf{0.6098}\). Fixed cost per kWh varies as \(1/\text{LF}\): at Rs 8000/kW/yr the supply cost falls from Rs 5.54/kWh at LF 0.30 to Rs 4.00/kWh at LF 0.61
Problem 3AppliedLoad Duration Curve

Construct the load duration curve for the system of Problem 1, verify that its area is the daily energy, and state what it can and cannot tell you.

Solution

The construction. For each demand level, count the total time at or above it:

Demand \(P\) (MW)Periods at or above itHours
11018–224
8514–18, 18–228
80+ 08–1212
70+ 12–1414
50+ 06–0816
45+ 22–2418
30+ 00–0624

The result is a monotonically decreasing staircase from (0 h, 110 MW) to (24 h, 30 MW). Time is no longer clock time — it is duration, and the horizontal axis has lost all information about when anything happened.

Verify the area. Integrating horizontally, in strips of constant demand:

\[ E = 30(24)+15(18)+5(16)+20(14)+10(12)+5(8)+25(4) \]
\[ = 720+270+80+280+120+40+100 = \mathbf{1610\ MWh} \ \checkmark \]

Each term is a horizontal strip: its height is the step in demand between consecutive levels and its width is the duration at the upper level. The total matches Problem 1 exactly, which is the structural check that the reordering was done correctly.

What is preserved and what is lost:

InformationChronological curveDuration curve
Total energy✓✓
Maximum and minimum demand✓✓
Hours above any given level✓ (with effort)✓ (directly)
Time of day of the peak✓✗
Ramp rates✓✗
Duration of a continuous excursion✓✗

The last row deserves emphasis. The duration curve says the load exceeds 85 MW for 8 hours a day; it does not say whether that is one continuous 8-hour block or two separate 4-hour blocks. For plant that takes 6 hours to start, those are completely different problems.

Load factor read off the duration curve. It is the ratio of the area to the enclosing rectangle:

\[ \text{LF} = \frac{\text{area under LDC}}{P_{\max}\times T} = \frac{1610}{2640} = 0.6098 \]

Which gives the load factor an immediate geometric meaning: how well the load duration curve fills its bounding rectangle. A perfectly flat load fills it completely; a single brief spike fills almost none of it.

Why the duration curve is the right tool for plant mix. A unit of capacity placed at height \(P\) on the curve:

\[ \text{runs for } t(P) \text{ hours per day and produces } t(P)\times1\ \text{MWh} \]

So the duration curve reads directly as a schedule of how hard each successive megawatt of capacity will work — 24 hours a day for the first 30 MW, 4 hours a day for the last 25 MW. That is exactly the information the capital-versus-fuel trade-off needs, and it is why Problems 9–11 are built on this curve rather than the chronological one.

The annual load duration curve is the form actually used in planning:

CurveHorizontal axisUsed for
Daily LDC0–24 hunit commitment, illustration
Annual LDC0–8760 hplant mix, capacity planning
Screening curve (its dual)0–8760 hdirect graphical plant selection

An annual curve built from 8760 hourly readings is smooth rather than a staircase, and its characteristic shape — a steep drop over the first few hundred hours, then a long flat tail — is why a small amount of very expensive peaking capacity is economic while a large amount is not.

The load duration curve is the chronological curve with time reordered by magnitude: it keeps the energy and the extremes, and throws away everything about when. That loss is exactly what makes it the right curve for choosing plant and the wrong one for scheduling it.
AnswerStaircase from 110 MW at 0 h to 30 MW at 24 h, with durations 4/8/12/14/16/18/24 h at 110/85/80/70/50/45/30 MW. Area = 1610 MWh ✓; load factor is the fraction of the bounding rectangle it fills, 0.6098
Problem 4FoundationConnected Load and Demand Factor

The supply area of Problem 1 has 60 000 domestic consumers averaging 2.0 kW of connected load, 4 000 commercial consumers averaging 12 kW, 120 industrial consumers averaging 600 kW, and 6 MW of street lighting. Find the total connected load and the system demand factor.

Solution

Connected load is the arithmetic sum of the nameplate ratings of every device that could be switched on:

GroupNumberConnected eachConnected total (MW)
Domestic60 0002.0 kW120.0
Commercial4 00012 kW48.0
Industrial120600 kW72.0
Street lighting——6.0
Total——246.0

It is a purely notional quantity — the demand that would occur if literally everything were switched on simultaneously, which never happens and in most systems could not physically be supplied.

The demand factor:

\[ \text{DF} = \frac{\text{maximum demand}}{\text{connected load}} = \frac{110}{246} = \mathbf{0.4472} \]

Less than half the connected load is ever drawn at once, and this is a high figure for a system with a large domestic component. Demand factor is always less than 1 — a system in which it approached 1 would be one where every consumer switched everything on together, which is precisely the condition that never occurs.

Why it is always less than one. Two independent reasons, easily confused:

ReasonEffectMeasured by
No single consumer uses everything at onceindividual MD < individual connected loaddemand factor
Different consumers peak at different timessystem MD < sum of individual MDsdiversity factor

The overall figure of 0.447 contains both effects. Separating them is the subject of Problem 5, and doing so matters because the two are influenced by completely different things.

Typical group demand factors:

GroupDemand factorWhy
Domestic0.50–0.60lighting, refrigeration and one or two appliances at a time
Commercial0.65–0.75lighting and air conditioning run together
Industrial0.80–0.90plant designed to run near capacity
Street lighting1.00every lamp is on together, by definition

The trend is systematic: the more purposefully the connected equipment was chosen, the closer the demand factor is to 1. Street lighting is the limiting case — nothing is installed that will not be used.

Applying the group demand factors to get each group's maximum demand:

GroupConnected (MW)Demand factorGroup MD (MW)
Domestic120.00.5566.00
Commercial48.00.7033.60
Industrial72.00.8561.20
Street lighting6.01.006.00
Sum of group maxima246.0—166.80

166.8 MW against a system maximum of 110 MW. The 56.8 MW difference is entirely diversity — the groups do not peak together — and it is quantified in Problem 5.

What demand factor is used for in practice:

\[ \text{Estimated MD} = \text{connected load}\times\text{DF} \]

It is a design tool. A distribution engineer sizing the transformer for a new housing estate knows the connected load from the drawings and has no load curve at all; a demand factor of 0.55 turns one into an estimate of the other. Published tables of demand factors by consumer class exist for exactly this purpose, and the estimate is only as good as the table's match to the local mix.

Connected load is a notional maximum that is never approached; demand factor is the number that converts it into something real. It answers "how much of what is installed is ever used at once", and it says nothing at all about when — which is the separate question diversity answers.
AnswerConnected load = 120+48+72+6 = 246 MW; demand factor = 110/246 = 0.4472. Applying group demand factors gives group maxima summing to 166.8 MW, against a system maximum of 110 MW
Problem 5AppliedDiversity Factor

Using the group maxima of Problem 4, find the system diversity factor. Then, given that the 60 000 domestic consumers have individual maximum demands averaging 1.4 kW, find the diversity factor within the domestic group and explain the difference.

Solution

The definition:

\[ \text{Diversity factor} = \frac{\sum\text{individual maximum demands}}{\text{maximum demand of the group}} \ \ge 1 \]

Note the direction. Unlike load factor and demand factor, diversity factor is greater than one — a source of endless confusion, and the reason some texts use its reciprocal under the name coincidence factor.

Between the four groups:

\[ \text{DivF} = \frac{66.00+33.60+61.20+6.00}{110} = \frac{166.80}{110} = \mathbf{1.5164} \]

The four groups' peaks, added arithmetically, exceed the system peak by 52%. That 56.8 MW is capacity that never has to be built, and it is a direct consequence of the groups peaking at different times of day.

Why they miss each other is visible in the load curve of Problem 1:

GroupPeaks atContribution at system peak (19:00)
Domestic19:00–21:00full — 66 MW
Commercial11:00–15:00partial — shops closing
Industrial10:00–17:00partial — day shift finished
Street lightingafter duskfull — 6 MW

The system peak occurs at the moment when the sum happens to be largest, which is generally not any individual group's own peak. Diversity is therefore not a random cancellation but a systematic consequence of daily rhythms.

Within the domestic group:

\[ \sum\text{individual MDs} = 60\,000\times1.4\ \text{kW} = 84.0\ \text{MW} \]
\[ \text{DivF}_{\text{domestic}} = \frac{84.0}{66.0} = \mathbf{1.2727} \]

Smaller than the between-group figure of 1.5164, and for a good reason: 60 000 households do broadly the same thing at the same time each evening, so their peaks coincide far more than a domestic peak coincides with an industrial one.

The hierarchy of diversity, which is the practical structure of the whole idea:

LevelTypical diversity factorCumulative
Between appliances in one house2.5–4.02.5–4.0
Between houses on one distributor1.2–1.43.0–5.6
Between distributors on one substation1.1–1.33.3–7.3
Between substations / consumer classes1.4–1.64.6–11.7

Each level multiplies. The cumulative effect from a single appliance to the system is a factor of five to ten, and it is the single largest economy in the whole industry — the reason a household with 8 kW of appliances contributes only about 1 kW to the system peak.

The design consequence. A distribution transformer is sized from:

\[ \text{transformer rating} \ge \frac{\sum(\text{connected load}\times\text{DF})}{\text{diversity factor}} \]

For 200 houses at 2.0 kW connected with DF 0.55 and a distributor diversity of 1.3: \((200\times2.0\times0.55)/1.3 = 169\) kW, so a 200 kVA transformer. Ignoring diversity would give 220 kW and a 250 kVA unit — 25% more iron for no benefit. This one calculation, repeated a million times, is where diversity earns its money.

Where diversity is falling, which is a live concern:

TrendEffect on diversity
Electric vehicle chargingfalls — everyone plugs in on arriving home
Heat pumpsfalls — weather-driven, therefore coincident
Air conditioningfalls — same reason
Smart charging / time-of-use tariffsrises — deliberately decorrelates

The first three are the reason distribution networks designed on 1970s diversity assumptions are being reinforced. A weather-driven load has almost no diversity at all: when it is cold, every heat pump runs, and the factor approaches 1.0.

Diversity factor is greater than one, and it multiplies at every level of aggregation — from appliance to house to feeder to system, a cumulative factor of five to ten. It is the reason the network is a fraction of the size the connected load would suggest, and the reason coincident new loads like EV charging are so disruptive.
AnswerSystem diversity factor = 166.80/110 = 1.5164; domestic within-group = 84.0/66.0 = 1.2727. The within-group figure is smaller because 60 000 households follow the same daily rhythm, while different consumer classes do not
Problem 6FoundationPlant Factors

The area of Problem 1 is supplied by 130 MW of installed capacity. Find the plant capacity factor, the plant use factor and the utilisation factor, and establish the identity that links capacity factor to load factor.

Solution

Plant capacity factor — how hard the installed plant works:

\[ \text{CF} = \frac{\text{energy generated}}{\text{installed capacity}\times\text{time}} = \frac{1610}{130\times24} = \frac{1610}{3120} = \mathbf{0.5160} \]

The plant produces 51.6% of what it could produce running flat out. Note that "installed capacity" means all of it, including the units standing as reserve.

Plant use factor — how hard the plant works while it is running:

\[ \text{PUF} = \frac{\text{energy generated}}{\text{capacity in service}\times\text{hours in service}} \]

If the whole 130 MW is synchronised for all 24 hours, PUF = CF = 0.5160. But that is not how a system is run: at 03:00 only 30 MW is needed, so most of the plant is shut down. If, say, an average of 100 MW is synchronised across the day, PUF = \(1610/(100\times24) = \) 0.6708 — noticeably higher.

Utilisation factor — how much of the plant the peak actually calls for:

\[ \text{UF} = \frac{\text{maximum demand}}{\text{installed capacity}} = \frac{110}{130} = \mathbf{0.8462} \]

85% of the plant is needed at the peak; the remaining 15% is reserve. Utilisation factor is the one plant factor that says nothing about energy — it is purely about capacity.

The identity that ties the plant to the load:

\[ \text{CF} = \frac{E}{P_{\text{inst}}T} = \frac{E}{P_{\max}T}\times\frac{P_{\max}}{P_{\text{inst}}} = \text{LF}\times\text{UF} \]
\[ 0.6098\times0.8462 = \mathbf{0.5160} \ \checkmark \]

Exactly. Two immediate corollaries: capacity factor can never exceed load factor, and it equals load factor only when there is no reserve at all.

The four factors compared, since keeping them apart is most of the difficulty:

FactorNumeratorDenominatorAboutValue
Loadaverage demandmaximum demandthe load0.6098
Demandmaximum demandconnected loadthe load0.4472
Capacityenergy generatedinstalled × timethe plant0.5160
Utilisationmaximum demandinstalled capacitythe plant0.8462

The first two are properties of what the consumers do; the last two of what the utility built. A question about consumer behaviour is never answered by a plant factor, and vice versa.

Typical annual capacity factors, which show the plant-mix logic directly:

Plant typeCapacity factorReason
Nuclear0.80–0.92run flat out; fuel cost negligible
Coal, base load0.60–0.80low fuel cost, slow to start
Combined cycle gas0.35–0.60mid-merit
Open-cycle gas turbine0.05–0.15peaking only
Hydro (reservoir)0.30–0.50energy-limited by inflow
Wind0.25–0.45resource-limited
Solar PV0.10–0.25resource-limited

The first four are chosen capacity factors — the plant could run more but is not despatched. The last three are imposed: the resource is not there. Comparing a wind farm's 0.30 with a gas turbine's 0.10 and concluding the wind farm works harder is a category error, because one figure is a constraint and the other a decision.

What capacity factor is used for, and one thing it is not:

\[ \text{annual energy} = \text{capacity}\times8760\times\text{CF} \]

It is the standard way of converting a capacity into an energy, and therefore into a revenue. It is not a measure of efficiency, availability or reliability: a plant with 100% availability and a capacity factor of 0.05 is a perfectly healthy peaking unit doing exactly the job it was built for.

\(\text{CF} = \text{LF}\times\text{UF}\) — capacity factor is load factor degraded by the reserve you carry. Load and demand factors describe the consumers; capacity and utilisation factors describe the plant; and the identity is the only bridge between the two groups.
AnswerCF = 1610/3120 = 0.5160; UF = 110/130 = 0.8462; PUF = 0.5160 if all plant is synchronised for 24 h, 0.6708 if an average of 100 MW is. Check: \(0.6098\times0.8462 = 0.5160\) ✓
Problem 7AppliedReserve Capacity

Distinguish installed reserve, spinning reserve and firm capacity for the 130 MW system of Problem 6, and determine whether the reserve is adequate given that the largest unit is 40 MW.

Solution

The three quantities, which are routinely confused:

TermDefinitionValue here
Installed reserveinstalled capacity − maximum demand130 − 110 = 20 MW
Spinning reservesynchronised capacity − current demandvaries through the day
Firm capacitycapacity guaranteed availableless than 130 MW

Installed reserve is a planning quantity; spinning reserve an operating quantity; firm capacity a contractual and statistical one. Only the first is a simple subtraction.

The adequacy test most commonly applied is the single-largest-unit criterion:

\[ \text{reserve} \ge \text{capacity of the largest unit} \quad\Rightarrow\quad 20 \ge 40 \ ? \quad \textbf{No} \]

The reserve is inadequate. Losing the 40 MW unit at the evening peak leaves 90 MW of plant against 110 MW of demand — a 20 MW shortfall, requiring immediate load shedding of 18% of the system.

What is required:

\[ P_{\text{inst}} \ge P_{\max}+P_{\text{largest unit}} = 110+40 = \mathbf{150\ MW} \]

So 20 MW more must be built, or the largest unit must be split into smaller ones. Note the second option: two 20 MW units in place of one 40 MW unit would make the existing reserve adequate at once, at the cost of a worse heat rate and higher capital cost per MW. That trade-off — unit size against reserve requirement — is a standing question in system planning.

Spinning reserve through the day, assuming units are committed to give at least 15% headroom:

PeriodDemandCommittedSpinning reserve
00:00–06:00304010 MW (33%)
08:00–12:00809515 MW (19%)
18:00–22:0011013020 MW (18%)

Spinning reserve must be synchronised and loadable within seconds — a shut-down unit is not spinning reserve however quickly it could start. At the peak the whole installed capacity is committed and the spinning reserve equals the installed reserve, which is why the peak is the binding hour for the adequacy test above.

Firm capacity is what remains after allowing for forced outages. With a forced outage rate of 8% per unit:

\[ \text{expected available} = 130\times0.92 = 119.6\ \text{MW} \]

Above the 110 MW peak on average, but "on average" is not a planning criterion — the whole point is what happens on the bad days. The proper treatment is probabilistic, using the loss-of-load-probability method, and it typically demands a reserve margin of 15–25% rather than the single-largest-unit rule of thumb.

Reserve margin as usually quoted:

\[ \text{reserve margin} = \frac{P_{\text{inst}}-P_{\max}}{P_{\max}} = \frac{20}{110} = \mathbf{18.2\%} \]
System typeTypical marginDriver
Large interconnected15–20%units are small relative to the system
Small isolated30–50%largest unit is a large fraction of the peak
High renewable penetration25–40%low capacity credit of variable plant

18.2% would be adequate for a large system, and is not adequate here — precisely because this system is small enough that one unit is 36% of its peak. Reserve requirements are set by the ratio of unit size to system size, not by the margin percentage alone.

The interconnection alternative. Rather than build 20 MW, the utility could contract for it:

\[ \text{cost of 20 MW of plant} \ \text{vs} \ \text{cost of a 20 MW firm import contract} \]

Interconnection is almost always cheaper, because the reserve is shared: two systems each carrying their own largest unit as reserve need less total reserve when interconnected than apart. This sharing of reserve, rather than energy trading, was the original economic justification for building interconnected grids, and it remains the largest single benefit.

Twenty megawatts of reserve is 18% of the peak and would satisfy most rules of thumb — but it is half the largest unit, so it fails the only test that matters here. Reserve adequacy is set by the size of the largest thing that can fail, not by a percentage.
AnswerInstalled reserve = 20 MW (18.2% margin), which is inadequate against a 40 MW largest unit. Required installed capacity is 150 MW, or the largest unit must be reduced. Firm capacity at 8% forced outage rate is 119.6 MW
Problem 8AppliedEnergy from the Duration Curve

A base-load unit of capacity \(C\) MW is run whenever the demand exceeds zero, up to its capacity, and the remainder is supplied by peaking plant. Tabulate the energy split as a function of \(C\), and identify the shape of the relationship.

Solution

The rule. With base capacity \(C\), at each instant:

\[ P_{\text{base}} = \min(P,C) \qquad P_{\text{peak}} = \max(P-C,0) \]

The base unit runs at whatever the demand is until it saturates at \(C\); the peaking plant supplies the excess. This is exactly a horizontal cut across the load duration curve at height \(C\) — everything below the cut is base energy, everything above is peak energy.

Worked at \(C = 70\) MW, block by block:

PeriodHoursDemandBase (MW)Peak (MW)Base MWhPeak MWh
00–066303001800
06–082505001000
08–12480701028040
12–142707001400
14–18485701528060
18–2241107040280160
22–24245450900
Total24———1350260

1350 + 260 = 1610 MWh ✓. The base unit supplies 84% of the energy from 64% of the peak capacity — the essential asymmetry that makes the plant-mix decision worth making.

The full relationship:

\(C\) (MW)Base energy (MWh)Peak energy (MWh)Base shareBase unit's own LF
307208900.4471.000
459906200.6150.917
5010705400.6650.892
7013502600.8390.804
8014701400.9130.766
8515101000.9380.740
110161001.0000.610

The base unit's own load factor is its energy divided by \(C\times24\). Note the trade-off in the last two columns: more base capacity captures more energy but works each megawatt less hard.

The shape is concave, and that is the whole point:

\[ \frac{d(\text{base energy})}{dC} = t(C) = \text{hours per day the load is at or above } C \]

The derivative of base energy with respect to base capacity is simply the duration read off the load duration curve. Since that duration decreases as \(C\) rises, the curve is concave — each successive megawatt of base capacity earns less energy than the one before.

Checking the derivative numerically between two rows:

\[ \frac{1470-1350}{80-70} = \frac{120}{10} = 12\ \text{MWh per MW per day} \]

And the load duration curve says the demand is at or above 80 MW for exactly 12 hours a day ✓. This identity is what makes the economic optimisation of Problem 10 a one-line calculation instead of a search.

The 30 MW row is special. Below the minimum demand, base capacity runs at 100% load factor:

\[ C \le P_{\min} = 30 \quad\Rightarrow\quad \text{base energy} = 24C, \quad \text{LF} = 1.000 \]

The first 30 MW of capacity is unambiguously worth building as base plant, whatever the cost figures — it runs continuously and displaces the most expensive energy on the system. This is why the minimum demand, not the average, sets the floor for base-load capacity.

The derivative of base-load energy with respect to base capacity is the load duration curve. That identity turns the plant-mix problem from an optimisation into a reading off a graph — the megawatt at which the duration equals the break-even utilisation.
AnswerAt \(C = 70\) MW: 1350 MWh base, 260 MWh peak — 84% of the energy from 64% of the capacity. The base-energy curve is concave with slope \(t(C)\), the duration at that level: 12 MWh/MW/day at \(C = 80\) MW ✓
Problem 9FoundationBase and Peak Load Plant

Explain why generating plant divides into base-load and peaking types, set out the characteristics of each, and state the economic principle that decides which to build.

Solution

The origin of the division is the load duration curve. The first 30 MW of capacity runs 24 hours a day; the last 25 MW runs 4 hours a day:

\[ \text{utilisation of the } n\text{th MW} = t(n) \ \text{hours/day, falling from 24 to 4} \]

A megawatt that runs 24 hours and one that runs 4 hours are being asked to do completely different jobs, so it would be surprising if the same machine were best for both.

The two cost structures:

CharacteristicBase-load plantPeaking plant
Capital costhighlow
Fuel and running costlowhigh
Efficiencyhigh (38–60%)low (25–38%)
Start-up timehours to daysminutes
Minimum stable generation40–60% of ratingnear zero
Suitable for cyclingpoor — thermal fatigueexcellent
Examplesnuclear, coal, CCGT, run-of-river hydroOCGT, diesel, reservoir hydro, storage

The first two rows are the essential ones and the rest follow from them: a plant with high capital cost must run continuously to recover it, so it is designed for efficiency rather than flexibility, which in turn makes it slow to start and unsuited to cycling.

The annual cost of each type as a function of running hours:

\[ \text{Base: } \ C_b(h) = F_b + R_b\,h \qquad \text{Peak: } \ C_p(h) = F_p + R_p\,h \]

Two straight lines per MW of capacity, with \(F_b > F_p\) and \(R_b < R_p\). They must cross, and where they cross is the whole answer.

For this system, with representative figures:

PlantAnnual fixed costRunning cost
Base load (coal)Rs 12.0 million/MWRs 2.50/kWh
Peaking (gas turbine)Rs 2.0 million/MWRs 6.00/kWh

The base plant costs six times as much to build and 42% as much to run. Both figures are per megawatt of installed capacity per year.

The break-even running time, obtained by equating the two lines:

\[ F_b+R_bh = F_p+R_ph \quad\Rightarrow\quad h^* = \frac{F_b-F_p}{R_p-R_b} \]
\[ h^* = \frac{(12.0-2.0)\times10^6}{(6.00-2.50)} = \frac{10\times10^6}{3.50} = 2\,857\ \text{kWh per kW per year} \]
\[ = 2857\ \text{hours/year} = \mathbf{7.83\ hours/day} \]

Any megawatt that will run more than 7.83 hours a day should be base plant; any that will run less should be peaking plant. The load duration curve says which is which.

Applying it to the curve:

Capacity bandDuration (h/day)vs \(h^* = 7.83\)Build as
0–30 MW24>base
30–45 MW18>base
45–50 MW16>base
50–70 MW14>base
70–80 MW12>base
80–85 MW8>base
85–110 MW4<peaking

The switch occurs at exactly 85 MW, where the duration drops from 8 hours (just above \(h^*\)) to 4 hours (well below). Problem 10 confirms this by direct cost comparison.

The middle category that this two-way split omits:

CategoryDurationTypical plant
Base load> 6000 h/yrnuclear, coal, run-of-river
Mid-merit / cycling2000–6000 h/yrCCGT, flexible coal
Peaking< 2000 h/yrOCGT, reciprocating engine, storage

Real systems have three or four bands rather than two, and the analysis extends directly: with \(n\) plant types there are \(n-1\) break-even durations, each defining a boundary on the load duration curve. Challenge 1 works a three-type case.

The plant-mix decision is a comparison of two straight lines, and the break-even running time \(h^* = (F_b-F_p)/(R_p-R_b)\) is where they cross. The load duration curve then says how many megawatts fall on each side — no optimisation, just a reading.
AnswerBase plant: high capital, low fuel; peaking: the reverse. \(h^* = (12.0-2.0)/(6.00-2.50)\times10^6 = 2857\) h/yr = 7.83 h/day. On this load duration curve the switch falls at 85 MW base, 25 MW peaking
Problem 10AdvancedOptimum Base Capacity

Using the cost figures of Problem 9, compute the total annual cost of supply as a function of base capacity \(C\), confirm the optimum, and quantify the penalty for getting it wrong.

Solution

The cost function. Total annual cost with base capacity \(C\) and peaking capacity \(110-C\):

\[ Z(C) = F_bC + F_p(110-C) + R_bE_b(C)\times365 + R_pE_p(C)\times365 \]

with \(E_b(C)\) and \(E_p(C)\) the daily base and peak energies from Problem 8, in MWh, converted to kWh for the running-cost terms.

Evaluated across the range, in crore rupees (107 Rs) per year:

\(C\) (MW)Fixed (Cr)Running (Cr)Total (Cr)
022.00352.59374.59
3052.00260.61312.61
4567.00226.12293.12
5072.00215.90287.90
7092.00180.13272.13
80102.00164.80266.80
85107.00159.69266.69
90112.00157.13269.13
110132.00146.91278.91

The minimum is at \(C = \mathbf{85\ MW}\), confirming the break-even argument of Problem 9. Note how shallow the minimum is between 80 and 90 MW — a feature of the problem, discussed below.

Why the optimum is exactly 85 MW, and not somewhere between the LDC steps:

\[ \frac{dZ}{dC} = (F_b-F_p) - (R_p-R_b)\,t(C)\times365\times1000 \]
\[ = 10\times10^6 - 3.50\times365\times1000\,t(C) = 10^6\left(10-1.2775\,t(C)\right) \]

This is negative (build more base) when \(t(C) > 7.83\) h/day and positive (build less) when \(t(C) < 7.83\). Since the duration is a staircase, the derivative changes sign at the step where the duration crosses 7.83 — between 8 h (at 85 MW) and 4 h (above it). The optimum sits exactly on the step.

The savings achieved:

StrategyAnnual cost (Cr)Excess over optimum
All peaking plant374.59+107.90 (+40.5%)
Half and half (55 MW base)283.95+17.27 (+6.5%)
Optimum (85 MW base)266.69—
All base plant278.91+12.23 (+4.6%)

The asymmetry is striking. Building all base plant costs 4.6% too much; building all peaking plant costs 40.5% too much. Erring towards base plant is far less costly than erring towards peaking plant, which is exactly what one would expect from a system with a load factor of 0.61 — most of the energy is base energy however you build it.

The shallowness of the optimum is worth quantifying, because it changes how much effort the calculation deserves:

\[ C: 80\to90\ \text{MW} \quad\Rightarrow\quad Z: 266.80\to269.13 \ \text{Cr} \quad (0.9\%) \]

A 12% error in the base capacity costs under 1% in total cost. Since the cost data themselves are uncertain by 10–20%, refining the optimum beyond the nearest available unit size is pointless — and, more importantly, other considerations (unit sizes actually on the market, fuel security, emissions, ramping capability) can be allowed to decide without much economic penalty.

The resulting average cost of supply:

\[ \frac{266.69\times10^7}{1610\times365\times1000} = \frac{2.6669\times10^9}{5.8765\times10^8} = \mathbf{Rs\ 4.538/kWh} \]

Which becomes the basis of the tariff in Problems 14–16. Note it exceeds the base plant's running cost of Rs 2.50/kWh by 82%, the difference being the capital charge and the peaking plant's expensive energy.

What the model omits, and it omits a good deal:

OmittedEffect on the answer
Reserve capacityraises fixed cost; which type carries reserve matters
Forced outagespeaking plant must cover base outages too
Start-up costs and minimum run timesfavours base plant further
Discrete unit sizesoptimum must be rounded to available units
Load growth over the plant's lifefavours building base capacity early
Fuel price uncertaintyfavours diversity of fuel type

Every one of these pushes towards more base capacity than the simple calculation gives, and the fifth is usually the largest: a base unit built for today's load duration curve will see a higher duration every year of its 40-year life.

The optimum is 85 MW of base plant, but the cost surface is so flat that a 12% error costs under 1%. The asymmetry matters far more than the precision: building too much base plant costs 4.6%, building too little costs 40.5%.
AnswerOptimum \(C = \mathbf{85\ MW}\) base, 25 MW peaking, at Rs 266.69 crore/year = Rs 4.538/kWh. All-peaking costs 40.5% more; all-base only 4.6% more; the optimum is flat to within 1% over 80–90 MW
Problem 11AppliedBreak-Even Utilisation

Show that the break-even utilisation \(h^*\) is independent of the load curve, tabulate it for a realistic set of plant types, and use it to construct a screening chart.

Solution

The independence. The break-even condition equates two annual costs per megawatt:

\[ F_1+R_1h = F_2+R_2h \quad\Rightarrow\quad h^* = \frac{F_1-F_2}{R_2-R_1} \]

Only cost data appear. The load curve does not enter at all — it decides how many megawatts fall on each side of \(h^*\), but not where \(h^*\) is. That separation is what makes the screening-curve method possible: the plant comparison can be done once and applied to any system.

A realistic set of plant types, with annual fixed costs in million rupees per MW and running costs in rupees per kWh:

Plant\(F\) (Mn Rs/MW/yr)\(R\) (Rs/kWh)Efficiency
Nuclear22.01.2033%
Coal (base)12.02.5038%
Combined cycle gas6.04.0055%
Open-cycle gas turbine2.06.0033%

The two columns run in opposite directions, as they must for the comparison to be interesting. Note that efficiency does not correlate simply with running cost — the CCGT is the most efficient plant on the list but burns the most expensive fuel.

The three adjacent break-even points:

\[ h^*_{\text{OCGT/CCGT}} = \frac{(6.0-2.0)\times10^6}{6.00-4.00} = 2000\ \text{h/yr} = 5.48\ \text{h/day} \]
\[ h^*_{\text{CCGT/coal}} = \frac{(12.0-6.0)\times10^6}{4.00-2.50} = 4000\ \text{h/yr} = 10.96\ \text{h/day} \]
\[ h^*_{\text{coal/nuclear}} = \frac{(22.0-12.0)\times10^6}{2.50-1.20} = 7692\ \text{h/yr} = 21.07\ \text{h/day} \]

Three thresholds dividing the year into four bands. That they come out in increasing order is not automatic — it is the condition for all four plant types to be economic somewhere, and a plant type for which the ordering fails is dominated and should never be built.

The screening chart is the resulting merit table:

Annual running hoursCheapest plantFraction of the year
0–2000Open-cycle gas turbine0–23%
2000–4000Combined cycle gas23–46%
4000–7692Coal46–88%
7692–8760Nuclear88–100%

Read the annual load duration curve at each of the three thresholds, and the megawatt levels found there are the capacity boundaries of the four plant types. The entire capacity-planning problem reduces to reading three points off one curve.

Checking the dominance condition. A plant type is worth building only if it is cheapest somewhere:

\[ \text{require} \quad h^*_{1,2} < h^*_{2,3} < h^*_{3,4} \quad\text{with } F \text{ increasing and } R \text{ decreasing} \]

Suppose a fifth plant type had \(F = 8.0\) and \(R = 5.00\). Against OCGT its break-even is \((8-2)/(6.00-5.00) = 6000\) h; against CCGT it is \((8-6)/(5.00-4.00) = 2000\) h. Since 6000 > 2000, there is no band in which it wins — CCGT is cheaper wherever it would be, and the plant is dominated. Testing for dominance before doing any further work saves a great deal of effort.

Sensitivity to fuel price, which is what actually moves these boundaries:

Change\(h^*_{\text{CCGT/coal}}\)Effect
Base case4000 h/yr—
Gas price +25% (\(R = 5.00\))2400 h/yrcoal displaces CCGT
Gas price −25% (\(R = 3.00\))12 000 h/yrcoal never economic
Carbon price on coal (\(R = 3.50\))12 000 h/yrsame — coal displaced entirely

The third and fourth rows give a break-even above 8760 hours, which means coal is never cheapest at any utilisation. A 25% swing in one fuel price, or a moderate carbon price, is enough to eliminate an entire plant category from the mix — which is why fuel-price and carbon-price forecasts dominate capacity planning far more than the engineering does.

What the screening method omits:

OmittedConsequence
Start-up cost and minimum run timea unit "running 2000 h/yr" may need 400 starts
Ramp rate limitsbase plant cannot follow the evening rise alone
Forced outagesextra capacity of some type is needed
Discrete unit sizesboundaries must be rounded
Variable renewablesthe residual load duration curve, not the load one

The last is the modern complication and it changes the answer qualitatively. With substantial wind and solar, the curve to screen against is the residual load duration curve — demand minus renewable output — which is far steeper and shorter-tailed. It shifts the whole mix towards flexible peaking plant and away from base load, which is the technical statement of a change now visible in every developed system's plant mix.

The break-even utilisation depends only on cost data, so the plant comparison can be done once and applied to any load curve. Three thresholds divide the year into four bands, and the whole capacity plan is three readings off one duration curve.
Answer\(h^* = (F_1-F_2)/(R_2-R_1)\) — independent of the load curve. For the four-plant set: OCGT below 2000 h/yr, CCGT 2000–4000, coal 4000–7692, nuclear above 7692 h/yr
Problem 12AppliedChoice of Plant

Apply the screening chart of Problem 11 to the annual load duration curve of this system, and produce a recommended plant list. Take the annual curve as the daily curve's shape with an annual peak of 120 MW.

Solution

Scale the daily curve to an annual one. Taking the same shape with a peak of 120 MW and the same durations expressed as fractions of the year:

Demand (MW)Fraction of the yearHours/year
1204/241460
938/242920
8712/244380
7614/245110
5516/245840
4918/246570
3324/248760

Scaling by 120/110 = 1.0909. A real annual curve would be smoother and would have a longer tail near the peak, but the exercise is identical.

Read the three thresholds off the curve. For each break-even duration, find the demand level:

Threshold\(h^*\) (h/yr)Demand at that durationBoundary
OCGT / CCGT2000between 93 and 120 MW≈ 100 MW
CCGT / coal4000between 87 and 93 MW≈ 88 MW
Coal / nuclear7692between 33 and 49 MW≈ 40 MW

Interpolating within the staircase steps, since a real curve is continuous. The three levels partition the 120 MW peak into four capacity bands.

The recommended mix:

BandCapacityPlant typeExpected utilisation
0–40 MW40 MWNuclear> 7700 h/yr
40–88 MW48 MWCoal4000–7700 h/yr
88–100 MW12 MWCombined cycle gas2000–4000 h/yr
100–120 MW20 MWOpen-cycle gas turbine< 2000 h/yr
Total120 MW——

Plus reserve. From Problem 7 the reserve must cover the largest unit, so if the nuclear plant is a single 40 MW unit the installed capacity must be 160 MW — and the extra 40 MW would sensibly be gas turbines, being the cheapest capacity to leave idle.

The immediate practical objection is unit size. A 40 MW nuclear station does not exist commercially:

PlantSmallest practical unitFeasible here?
Nuclear (conventional)600–1600 MWno — five times the whole system
Nuclear (SMR)50–300 MWmarginal
Coal60–800 MWmarginal at the low end
CCGT100–500 MWno
OCGT5–100 MWyes
Reciprocating engine1–20 MWyes

A 120 MW system cannot use the plant types the screening chart recommends, because they do not come in small enough pieces. This is the central difficulty of small isolated systems, and the reason such systems are dominated by diesel engines and gas turbines with capacity factors that the screening chart says are uneconomic.

The realistic recommendation for a 120 MW isolated system:

PlantUnitsCapacityRole
Coal or biomass2 × 30 MW60 MWbase load
Reciprocating engines4 × 15 MW60 MWmid-merit and peaking
Gas turbine1 × 30 MW30 MWpeaking and reserve
Total installed—150 MWreserve = 30 MW = largest unit ✓

Note what has changed: unit sizes are small so that the reserve requirement is manageable, and the mid-merit band is filled with engines rather than a CCGT. The economic penalty relative to the ideal mix is perhaps 5–10%, and it is unavoidable.

If the system is interconnected, the answer changes completely:

\[ \text{reserve requirement} \to \text{shared} \qquad \text{unit size limit} \to \text{relaxed} \qquad \text{import at the margin} \to \text{available} \]

A 120 MW area inside a 20 000 MW grid does not build its own plant mix at all — it buys from the pool, and the screening chart is applied at the level of the whole grid where 800 MW units are a small fraction of the peak. The economies of scale in generation are large enough that this is almost always the better answer, and it is why isolated systems are rare outside islands and remote mines.

The screening chart gives the economically ideal mix; unit sizes and reserve requirements then say how much of it can actually be built. For a 120 MW system the answer is very little of it — which is the real argument for interconnection, stated in engineering rather than economic terms.
AnswerIdeal mix: 40 MW nuclear, 48 MW coal, 12 MW CCGT, 20 MW OCGT. Not buildable — no unit is small enough. Realistic: 2×30 MW coal, 4×15 MW engines, 1×30 MW gas turbine = 150 MW installed with 30 MW reserve
Problem 13AppliedLoad Growth

The system's peak demand grows at 6% per year. Determine when new capacity is required, how much, and how load growth alters the plant-mix conclusion of Problem 10.

Solution

The growth law:

\[ P_{\max}(n) = 110\times1.06^n \qquad \text{doubling time} = \frac{\ln2}{\ln1.06} = 11.9\ \text{years} \]

The rule of 72 gives \(72/6 = 12\) years, correct to 1%. Six per cent is a high growth rate typical of a developing system; mature systems run at 1–2% and some are now flat or declining.

When the existing 130 MW becomes inadequate. Requiring reserve to cover the 40 MW largest unit:

\[ 110\times1.06^n + 40 \le 130 \quad\Rightarrow\quad 1.06^n \le \frac{90}{110} = 0.818 \]

Which is already violated at \(n = 0\) — the system is short of reserve today, as Problem 7 found. Taking the weaker criterion that installed capacity merely exceed the peak:

The capacity timetable:

YearPeak (MW)Installed needed (peak + 40)Action
0110.0150.020 MW short already
2123.6163.6—
4138.9178.9—
6156.0196.0—
8175.3215.3—
10197.0237.0—

The requirement grows by about 10 MW every year and a half. With a coal station taking five years to build and a gas turbine eighteen months, the commitment decisions must be taken well ahead of the shortfall — which is why a capacity plan is drawn for 10–15 years and revised annually.

How growth changes the plant-mix answer. A unit built today will see a rising duration every year of its life:

YearPeak (MW)Duration of the 85 MW level
01108 h/day
5147≈ 13 h/day
10197≈ 17 h/day
15264≈ 20 h/day

A megawatt of capacity at the 85 MW level starts at 8 hours a day, comfortably above \(h^* = 7.83\), and rises to 20 hours within fifteen years. Averaged over a 30-year plant life its utilisation is far above the break-even, so the case for base plant is much stronger than the static calculation suggests.

The general principle:

\[ \text{Growth systematically shifts the optimum towards base-load plant.} \]

The correct comparison is between the present values of the two cost streams over the plant life, not between one year's costs. Doing that here would move the optimum from 85 MW towards 95–100 MW of base capacity — but since Problem 10 showed the cost surface is flat to within 1% over that range, it barely matters in cost terms. What it does change is the direction of the error one should prefer to make.

The countervailing risk is that growth may not materialise:

OutcomeConsequence of having built base plant
Growth as forecastoptimal
Growth slowerstranded capital; the fixed cost is sunk
Growth fasterexcellent — capacity already there
Demand declinessevere — base plant is the worst asset to hold

The asymmetry runs the other way from the cost calculation. Peaking plant is cheap to build and cheap to abandon; base plant is neither. In a system where the growth forecast is uncertain, the option value of building short-lead-time peaking plant and deferring the base-load decision can outweigh its higher running cost — which is a large part of why gas turbines proliferated in liberalised markets during the 1990s and 2000s.

Forecasting the growth rate is the weakest link:

MethodBasisWeakness
Trend extrapolationpast growth continuesmisses structural change
End-use modellingappliance ownership × usagedata-hungry
EconometricGDP, population, price elasticityneeds a GDP forecast
Scenario analysisseveral futures, weightedno single answer — deliberately

The last is now standard practice, precisely because the others produce a single number with false confidence. A capacity plan robust across several scenarios is worth more than one optimal for the most likely.

Growth raises the duration of every capacity level, so a unit that is marginal for base plant today will be firmly base plant within five years. The correct comparison is over the plant's life, and it shifts the optimum towards base — unless the growth forecast is uncertain, when the option value of short-lead-time plant shifts it back.
AnswerPeak doubles in 11.9 years; the requirement rises ≈10 MW every 18 months. The 85 MW level's duration rises from 8 to 20 h/day over fifteen years, so lifetime utilisation is far above \(h^* = 7.83\) and the optimum shifts towards 95–100 MW of base plant
Problem 14FoundationCost of Supply

Set out the components of the cost of supplying electricity, apportion them between fixed, semi-fixed and running categories, and explain why this structure dictates the form of every tariff.

Solution

The three categories, distinguished by what they depend on:

CategoryDepends onExamples
Fixednothing — incurred regardlessland, buildings, administration, interest
Semi-fixedmaximum demandgenerating plant, transformers, lines, cables
Runningenergy generatedfuel, water, variable maintenance, losses

The middle category is the interesting one and the one that gives the subject its shape. Semi-fixed costs are capital costs, so they do not vary with output — but their size was determined by the maximum demand the system had to meet.

The cost equation that follows:

\[ \text{Annual cost} = \underbrace{a}_{\text{fixed}}+\underbrace{b\cdot P_{\max}}_{\text{semi-fixed}}+\underbrace{c\cdot E}_{\text{running}} \]

Three terms, and this three-term structure is the origin of the three-part tariff. Everything else in tariff design is a simplification or elaboration of it.

Apportionment for this system, using the Problem 10 result of Rs 266.69 crore a year:

ComponentAmount (Cr/yr)ShareBasis
Fixed (administration, etc.)8.003.0%—
Semi-fixed (generation capital)107.0040.1%Rs 97.27 lakh/MW of peak (Rs 973/kW)
Running (fuel and variable)159.6959.9%Rs 2.72/kWh average
Transmission and distribution capitalincluded above——
Total274.69100%Rs 4.674/kWh

The split is roughly 40:60 between capacity and energy, which is typical. In a hydro-dominated system it would be 80:20; in a system running mostly gas turbines, 20:80.

Why an energy-only tariff is unjust. Consider two consumers taking the same annual energy:

ConsumerMDLoad factorAnnual kWhCapacity they cause
A100 kW0.80700 800100 kW
B400 kW0.20700 800400 kW

Both buy the same energy, so an energy-only tariff charges them the same. But B requires four times as much plant, four times the transformer, four times the cable. Under an energy-only tariff, A subsidises B — and the subsidy is a direct incentive for B not to improve.

The cost each actually causes, using Rs 973 per kW of MD per year and Rs 2.72/kWh:

\[ \text{A: } 973(100)+2.72(700\,800) = 97\,300+1\,906\,176 = \text{Rs } 2\,003\,476 \]
\[ \text{B: } 973(400)+2.72(700\,800) = 389\,200+1\,906\,176 = \text{Rs } 2\,295\,376 \]

B costs 14.6% more to supply for identical energy. A tariff that recovers that difference is not a penalty on B — it is an accurate bill, and it gives B a financial reason to raise his load factor, which benefits everyone.

The tariff forms in use, each a way of recovering the three terms:

TariffFormRecovers
Flat rate\(C = B\cdot\text{kWh}\)everything through energy — unjust
Two-part\(C = A\cdot\text{kW}+B\cdot\text{kWh}\)capacity and energy separately
Three-part (Doherty)\(C = a+A\cdot\text{kW}+B\cdot\text{kWh}\)all three terms explicitly
Hopkinsontwo-part with the demand on kVAadds a power factor signal
Block ratedecreasing rate per block of kWhapproximates a two-part tariff
Time of daydifferent \(B\) by periodsignals the real marginal cost

The block-rate tariff is worth a note: by charging less for later blocks it makes the average rate fall with consumption, which mimics a two-part tariff without requiring a maximum-demand meter. It was the standard domestic tariff for most of the twentieth century for exactly that reason, and smart metering is now displacing it with time-of-day pricing.

Cost has three components — fixed, proportional to maximum demand, and proportional to energy — so a just tariff must have three terms too. Every tariff in commercial use is that three-term structure, simplified according to what the meter can measure.
AnswerAnnual cost \(= a+b\,P_{\max}+c\,E\). Here: Rs 8 crore fixed, Rs 107 crore on capacity (Rs 9.73 lakh/MW), Rs 159.69 crore on energy (Rs 2.72/kWh) — a 40:60 capacity-to-energy split, giving Rs 4.674/kWh overall
Problem 15AppliedThe Two-Part Tariff

The utility adopts a two-part tariff of Rs 1800 per kVA of maximum demand per year plus Rs 2.20 per kWh. Derive the average rate as a function of load factor, and find the load factor at which the average rate equals Rs 3.00/kWh at unity power factor.

Solution

The tariff:

\[ C = A\cdot\text{(kVA of MD)}+B\cdot\text{(kWh)}, \qquad A = 1800,\ B = 2.20 \]

The demand charge is on kVA, not kW — the Hopkinson form. That choice matters and is the subject of Problems 17–19; for now take unity power factor so kVA = kW.

Express the energy in terms of the demand and the load factor:

\[ E = P_{\max}\times8760\times\text{LF} \]
\[ C = A\,P_{\max}+B\,P_{\max}\,8760\,\text{LF} \]

Divide by the energy to get the average rate:

\[ \boxed{\ \bar c = \frac{C}{E} = \frac{A}{8760\,\text{LF}}+B\ } \]

The maximum demand has cancelled entirely. The average rate depends only on the load factor, not on the size of the consumer — a large and a small consumer with the same load factor pay the same rate per unit. That is the defining property of a two-part tariff, and it is exactly the right one: it charges for the pattern of consumption rather than penalising size.

Numerically:

\[ \bar c = \frac{1800}{8760\,\text{LF}}+2.20 = \frac{0.20548}{\text{LF}}+2.20 \ \text{Rs/kWh} \]
Load factorDemand componentEnergyAverage rate
0.102.0552.204.255
0.201.0272.203.227
0.25680.8002.203.000
0.400.5142.202.714
0.600.3422.202.542
0.800.2572.202.457
1.000.2062.202.406

Setting \(\bar c = 3.00\) gives \(\text{LF} = 0.20548/0.80 = \mathbf{0.2568}\). A consumer at 26% load factor pays Rs 3.00/kWh; one at 80% pays Rs 2.46 — 18% less for identical energy.

The shape is a rectangular hyperbola asymptotic to \(B\):

\[ \text{LF}\to0: \ \bar c\to\infty \qquad \text{LF}\to1: \ \bar c\to B+\frac{A}{8760} = 2.406 \]

The steepness at low load factor is the tariff's whole point. A consumer at 0.10 pays 77% more than one at 1.00, and the marginal benefit of improving is greatest exactly where the load factor is worst — which is where the incentive is most needed.

Setting \(A\) and \(B\). The utility must recover its costs, so from Problem 14:

\[ B \approx \text{running cost per kWh} = 2.72 \qquad A \approx \text{capacity cost per kW} = 973 \]

The tariff quoted (\(A = 1800\), \(B = 2.20\)) recovers more through the demand charge and less through energy than a strict cost apportionment would. That is a deliberate choice: loading the demand charge sharpens the load-factor incentive, at the price of a bill that varies less with consumption and is therefore less popular with small consumers.

Checking that the tariff recovers the revenue. With a system load factor of 0.6098 and a peak of 110 MW at unity power factor:

\[ C = 1800(110\,000)+2.20(587.65\times10^6) = 19.8\times10^7+129.3\times10^7 = \text{Rs } 149.1\ \text{crore} \]

Against costs of Rs 274.69 crore. The tariff under-recovers by 46% — because the system's diversity means the sum of consumers' individual maximum demands (166.8 MW, Problem 5) is far more than the system peak, and the demand charge is levied on each consumer's own maximum, not on his share of the system peak. Recomputing with 166.8 MW of billed demand gives Rs 159.3 crore, still short. The tariff as stated is simply too low, and the exercise illustrates that setting a tariff requires the billed-demand total, not the system peak.

Under a two-part tariff the average rate depends only on the load factor — the consumer's size cancels out entirely. That is what makes it fair: it charges for the shape of the demand, not its magnitude, and gives every consumer the same incentive to improve.
Answer\(\bar c = A/(8760\,\text{LF})+B = 0.20548/\text{LF}+2.20\) Rs/kWh, independent of consumer size. \(\bar c = 3.00\) at \(\text{LF} = \mathbf{0.2568}\); the rate falls to Rs 2.406/kWh at unity load factor
Problem 16AppliedComparing Consumers

Under the tariff of Problem 15 (Rs 1800/kVA of MD per year plus Rs 2.20/kWh), compare three consumers: a three-shift industry with 5 MW MD at 0.80 load factor, a single-shift industry with 5 MW MD at 0.35, and a commercial consumer with 0.5 MW MD at 0.45 — all at 0.85 power factor except the commercial consumer at 0.90.

Solution

Convert each consumer's data into billable quantities:

\[ \text{kVA of MD} = \frac{\text{kW of MD}}{\cos\phi} \qquad \text{kWh} = \text{kW of MD}\times8760\times\text{LF} \]
ConsumerMD (kW)\(\cos\phi\)kVALFAnnual kWh
Industry A (3-shift)50000.8558820.8035.04 million
Industry B (1-shift)50000.8558820.3515.33 million
Commercial C5000.905560.451.971 million

A and B are identical in every respect except when they run. That is the comparison the tariff is designed to expose.

The bills:

ConsumerDemand charge (Cr)Energy charge (Cr)Total (Cr)Average (Rs/kWh)
Industry A1.0597.7098.7682.502
Industry B1.0593.3734.4312.891
Commercial C0.1000.4340.5342.707

A and B pay exactly the same demand charge — Rs 1.059 crore — because their maximum demands are identical. A buys 2.3 times as much energy and pays 1.98 times as much in total, so his average rate is 13% lower.

Verify against the load-factor formula of Problem 15, adjusted for power factor:

\[ \bar c = \frac{A}{8760\,\text{LF}\cos\phi}+B \]
\[ \text{A: } \frac{1800}{8760(0.80)(0.85)}+2.20 = 0.3021+2.20 = 2.502 \ \checkmark \]
\[ \text{B: } \frac{1800}{8760(0.35)(0.85)}+2.20 = 0.6906+2.20 = 2.891 \ \checkmark \]

The formula reproduces both, and shows explicitly that load factor and power factor enter identically — a consumer can improve his average rate by raising either.

The commercial consumer sits between them, which repays a moment's thought:

\[ \text{C: } \frac{1800}{8760(0.45)(0.90)}+2.20 = 0.5073+2.20 = 2.707 \]

C has a worse load factor than A but a better power factor than B, and the product \(\text{LF}\times\cos\phi\) — 0.405 against A's 0.680 and B's 0.298 — is what actually determines the rate. C is ten times smaller than A and B, and that size difference has no effect whatever on the rate.

What B can do about it. Three options, with their effect on his average rate:

ActionNew LFNew \(\cos\phi\)Average rateAnnual saving
Do nothing0.350.852.891—
Correct to \(\cos\phi = 0.98\)0.350.982.799Rs 14.04 lakh
Add a second shift (LF 0.60)0.600.852.603see note
Shift load off the system peak0.350.85—no effect under this tariff

The second row is a real saving of Rs 14.04 lakh a year for a capacitor bank costing about Rs 10 lakh — Problem 19 works it through. The third row is not a saving in the same sense: B would buy far more energy, so his bill rises even as his rate falls; the benefit is that he produces more output for it. The fourth row is the important negative: a demand charge based on the consumer's own maximum gives no incentive to avoid the system peak, which is a genuine defect of the two-part tariff and the reason time-of-day pricing exists.

Whose demand actually causes cost. The defect above is worth stating precisely:

Consumer's peak occursCost causedCharged under a two-part tariff
At the system peakfull capacity costfull demand charge
At 3 a.m.none — capacity was there anywayfull demand charge

A consumer whose maximum demand falls in the overnight trough imposes no capacity cost at all, yet pays the same demand charge as one peaking at 19:00. Correcting this requires measuring demand only during system peak hours — which is what a maximum-demand charge levied on a restricted time window, or a time-of-day tariff, does.

The revenue perspective. Which consumer is most valuable to the utility?

ConsumerRevenue (Cr)Cost to serve (Cr)Margin (Cr)
Industry A8.76810.02−1.25
Industry B4.4314.66−0.23
Commercial C0.5340.585−0.05

Using the Problem 14 cost basis of Rs 973/kW of MD and Rs 2.72/kWh. Every consumer is loss-making, because the tariff of Problem 15 was shown there to under-recover by 46%. What the comparison does show is where the shortfall is concentrated: the high-load-factor consumer buys the most energy at a rate below cost, so he generates the largest absolute loss. Setting \(B\) below the true running cost is the specific error, and it is a common one in practice — usually a deliberate cross-subsidy from somewhere else.

Two consumers with identical maximum demand pay identical demand charges however much or little they use the connection — which is precisely the point. The tariff charges for the capacity a consumer reserves, and rewards him only for using it more.
AnswerA: Rs 8.768 crore, 2.502 Rs/kWh; B: Rs 4.431 crore, 2.891 Rs/kWh; C: Rs 0.534 crore, 2.707 Rs/kWh. A and B pay the same demand charge; the rate is set by \(\text{LF}\times\cos\phi\) = 0.680 / 0.298 / 0.405
Problem 17FoundationPower Factor and the kVA Charge

Explain why the demand charge is levied on kVA rather than kW, and quantify the cost that a low power factor imposes on the supply system.

Solution

Every item of plant is rated in kVA, not kW. That is the whole argument:

Plant itemLimited byRated in
Generator stator\(I^2R\) heatingkVA
Transformer\(I^2R\) heatingkVA
Cable and line\(I^2R\) heatingA, hence kVA
SwitchgearcurrentA
Turbinemechanical powerkW

Only the prime mover is rated in kW. Everything electrical is rated by current, and current is set by kVA. So a consumer taking 5000 kW at 0.85 power factor requires the same plant as one taking 5882 kW at unity — and should pay accordingly.

The size of the effect:

\[ \text{kVA} = \frac{\text{kW}}{\cos\phi} \]
\(\cos\phi\)kVA per 1000 kWExtra plant neededExtra loss (\(\propto I^2\))
1.001000——
0.951053+5.3%+10.8%
0.901111+11.1%+23.5%
0.851176+17.6%+38.4%
0.801250+25.0%+56.2%
0.701429+42.9%+104.1%

The last column is the one that surprises: at 0.70 power factor the \(I^2R\) losses in every conductor between the generator and the consumer are doubled, because loss goes as the square of current and current goes as \(1/\cos\phi\).

The reactive power itself:

\[ Q = P\tan\phi \]
\(\cos\phi\)\(\tan\phi\)kVAr per 1000 kW
0.980.2030203
0.950.3287329
0.900.4843484
0.850.6197620
0.800.7500750
0.701.02021020

At 0.70 power factor the reactive demand exceeds the real demand. That reactive power has to be generated and transmitted like any other, and it does no useful work at the consumer's premises.

Where the reactive power comes from and why it is the consumer's responsibility:

Source of lagging VArsTypical \(\cos\phi\)
Induction motor, full load0.80–0.90
Induction motor, quarter load0.30–0.50
Arc and induction furnaces0.60–0.80
Welding sets0.35–0.60
Fluorescent lighting, uncorrected0.50–0.60
Transformers on light load0.10–0.30

The second row is the practical heart of the matter: an oversized motor running lightly loaded has a dreadful power factor, and oversizing motors is extremely common. Correcting the tariff to charge for kVA is what makes the consumer notice.

The three ways a tariff can signal power factor, all in use:

MethodFormComment
Demand charge on kVA\(A\cdot\text{kVA}\)the Hopkinson form used here — direct and simple
Power factor penalty/bonussurcharge below a thresholdcommon in India; typically below 0.90
Separate kVArh charge\(D\cdot\text{kVArh}\)charges reactive energy, not demand

The three are not equivalent. A kVA demand charge signals the peak reactive requirement; a kVArh charge signals the reactive energy. Since capacity cost is driven by the peak, the kVA form is the more accurate — but the kVArh form is easier to meter with older equipment, which is why it persists.

Quantifying the system-wide cost. If the whole 110 MW system ran at 0.85 rather than 0.98 power factor:

\[ \text{kVA}: \ \frac{110}{0.98} = 112.2 \ \to \ \frac{110}{0.85} = 129.4\ \text{MVA} \quad (+15.3\%) \]
\[ \text{extra capital at Rs 973/kW-equivalent} = 973\times17\,200 = \text{Rs } 1.67\ \text{crore/year} \]

Plus the increased losses: \((0.98/0.85)^2 = 1.329\), so a 33% rise in all \(I^2R\) losses. At 6% system losses that is an extra 2% of all energy generated — about Rs 3.2 crore a year on this system's running cost. The total is around Rs 5 crore a year, or 1.8% of the cost of supply, for a power factor difference that a few crore of capacitors would eliminate.

Every electrical item in the supply chain is rated in kVA because every one is limited by current — so a kVA demand charge is not a penalty but simply an accurate bill. At 0.70 power factor a consumer needs 43% more plant and doubles the losses in every conductor feeding him.
AnswerPlant is current-limited, hence kVA-rated: at \(\cos\phi = 0.85\) a consumer needs 17.6% more plant and causes 38.4% more \(I^2R\) loss than at unity. System-wide, 0.85 instead of 0.98 costs about Rs 5 crore a year here — 1.8% of the cost of supply
Problem 18AppliedCapacitor Sizing

Industry B of Problem 16 takes 5000 kW at 0.85 power factor lagging. Find the capacitor rating needed to raise the power factor to 0.95 and to 0.98, and construct the general sizing rule.

Solution

The principle. A capacitor supplies leading reactive power locally, so the reactive power drawn from the supply falls while the real power is unchanged:

\[ P \ \text{unchanged} \qquad Q_2 = Q_1-Q_C \qquad \tan\phi_2 = \frac{Q_1-Q_C}{P} \]

The real power is unchanged because an ideal capacitor consumes none. The kW demand charge, if there were one, would not move at all — only the kVA falls.

The sizing formula:

\[ \boxed{\ Q_C = P\left(\tan\phi_1-\tan\phi_2\right)\ } \]

One line, and it is the only formula needed. The angles come from \(\phi = \arccos(\text{pf})\), and the result is in the same units as \(P\).

Correction to 0.95:

\[ \phi_1 = \arccos0.85 = 31.788°,\quad \tan\phi_1 = 0.61974 \]
\[ \phi_2 = \arccos0.95 = 18.195°,\quad \tan\phi_2 = 0.32868 \]
\[ Q_C = 5000(0.61974-0.32868) = 5000(0.29106) = \mathbf{1455.3\ kVAr} \]

And the apparent power falls from \(5000/0.85 = 5882\) kVA to \(5000/0.95 = 5263\) kVA — a reduction of 619 kVA.

Correction to 0.98:

\[ \tan\phi_2 = \tan(11.478°) = 0.20304 \]
\[ Q_C = 5000(0.61974-0.20304) = \mathbf{2083.5\ kVAr} \]
\[ \text{kVA}: 5882 \to \frac{5000}{0.98} = 5102 \quad\text{a reduction of } 780\ \text{kVA} \]

Note the diminishing return. Going from 0.85 to 0.95 needs 1455 kVAr and saves 619 kVA; the further step to 0.98 needs an extra 628 kVAr and saves only a further 161 kVA. The marginal ratio has fallen from 0.43 to 0.26 kVA saved per kVAr installed.

The diminishing return, tabulated:

Target \(\cos\phi\)\(Q_C\) (kVAr)kVAkVA savedkVA saved per kVAr
0.85 (none)058820—
0.9067755563270.483
0.95145552636190.425
0.98208451027800.375
0.99238650518320.349
1.00309950008820.285

Correcting all the way to unity requires more than twice the capacitors needed for 0.95 and delivers only 42% more saving. This is why correction targets in practice cluster at 0.95–0.98 and never at 1.00 — and why the economic optimum, computed in Problem 19, falls in exactly that range.

Why over-correction is actively harmful:

EffectConsequence
Leading power factor at light loadvoltage rise; kVA rises again
Resonance with system inductanceharmonic amplification
Self-excitation of motors on disconnectiondangerous overvoltage
Higher capacitor costdiminishing return, as above

The second row is the serious one in modern installations. A capacitor bank and the supply transformer's leakage inductance form a parallel resonant circuit, typically at the 5th to 13th harmonic; if a nearby drive injects current at that order, the resulting voltage distortion can be severe. Detuned capacitor banks — with a small series reactor moving the resonance below the lowest harmonic present — are the standard remedy.

Where to install, which changes what the correction achieves:

LocationRelievesNote
At each motor terminaleverything upstreambest technically; switched with the motor
At the load centre / MCCthe main distributionusual compromise
At the incoming supplyonly the utility's networksatisfies the tariff, relieves nothing internal

A bank at the incoming supply reduces the bill but does nothing for the consumer's own cables and transformer. Individual motor correction relieves the whole chain and is technically ideal, but it needs many small units, each of which must be sized below the motor's magnetising kVAr to avoid self-excitation on disconnection.

One formula, \(Q_C = P(\tan\phi_1-\tan\phi_2)\), and one warning: the return diminishes sharply above 0.95, so correcting to unity costs twice as much for 42% more benefit. Real installations correct to 0.95–0.98 and stop.
Answer\(Q_C = 5000(0.61974-0.32868) = \mathbf{1455\ kVAr}\) for 0.95, and 2084 kVAr for 0.98. kVA falls from 5882 to 5263 and 5102 respectively; the marginal return falls from 0.483 to 0.285 kVA per kVAr as the target rises
Problem 19AdvancedEconomics of Correction

Capacitors cost Rs 500 per kVAr installed, with an annual charge of 12% of capital for interest, depreciation and maintenance. Find the economic power factor for Industry B under the tariff of Problem 15, and derive the general result.

Solution

Set up the annual saving and cost as functions of the target power factor \(\cos\phi_2\):

\[ \text{Saving} = A\,P\left(\frac{1}{\cos\phi_1}-\frac{1}{\cos\phi_2}\right) \]
\[ \text{Cost} = k\,c\,P\left(\tan\phi_1-\tan\phi_2\right) \]

with \(A = 1800\) Rs/kVA/yr, \(c = 500\) Rs/kVAr and \(k = 0.12\) the annual charge rate. Both are proportional to \(P\), so the consumer's size cancels — the economic power factor is the same for a 5 MW works and a 50 kW workshop.

The net annual benefit:

\[ Z(\phi_2) = A\,P\left(\sec\phi_1-\sec\phi_2\right)-k\,c\,P\left(\tan\phi_1-\tan\phi_2\right) \]

Differentiate with respect to \(\phi_2\) and set to zero. Using \(d(\sec\phi)/d\phi = \sec\phi\tan\phi\) and \(d(\tan\phi)/d\phi = \sec^2\phi\):

The optimality condition:

\[ -A\sec\phi_2\tan\phi_2+k\,c\sec^2\phi_2 = 0 \quad\Rightarrow\quad \sin\phi_2 = \frac{k\,c}{A} \]
\[ \boxed{\ \cos\phi_2^{\text{opt}} = \sqrt{1-\left(\frac{k\,c}{A}\right)^2}\ } \]

A strikingly clean result. The economic power factor depends only on the ratio of the capacitor's annual cost per kVAr to the tariff's demand charge per kVA — not on the consumer's size, load factor, or initial power factor.

Numerically:

\[ \frac{k\,c}{A} = \frac{0.12\times500}{1800} = \frac{60}{1800} = 0.03333 = \sin\phi_2 \]
\[ \cos\phi_2^{\text{opt}} = \sqrt{1-0.03333^2} = \mathbf{0.99944} \]

Essentially unity. With a demand charge as high as Rs 1800/kVA and capacitors as cheap as Rs 500/kVAr, it pays to correct almost completely — the tariff is signalling very strongly indeed.

The sensitivity is what makes the result useful:

\(A\) (Rs/kVA/yr)\(kc/A\)\(\cos\phi^{\text{opt}}\)
18000.03330.9994
5000.12000.9928
2000.30000.9539
1200.50000.8660
750.80000.6000

The economic power factor is only weakly sensitive to the demand charge over the practical range: a fourteen-fold reduction in \(A\) moves it from 0.999 to 0.954. Only when the demand charge falls below about Rs 150/kVA does correction stop being worthwhile — and that is far below any real industrial tariff.

Why real installations stop at 0.95–0.98 when the arithmetic says 0.999. Four reasons the model omits:

OmittedEffect
Load varies; a fixed bank over-corrects at light loadcaps the practical target
Switched banks cost more per kVArraises \(c\) for the last steps
Harmonic resonance riskdetuning reactors raise cost further
Tariff thresholds are discreteno reward beyond, say, 0.95

The first is decisive. A works whose load falls to 20% overnight would go strongly leading with a bank sized for full-load unity correction, raising both voltage and kVA. Automatic power factor correction with switched stages solves this, and its cost per kVAr is two to three times that of a fixed bank — which is what really sets the practical limit at 0.95–0.98.

The practical answer for Industry B, correcting to 0.98 with a switched bank at Rs 900/kVAr:

ItemValue
Capacitor rating2084 kVAr
Capital cost at Rs 900/kVArRs 18.75 lakh
Annual charge at 12%Rs 2.25 lakh
kVA saved780 kVA
Annual demand-charge savingRs 14.04 lakh
Net annual benefitRs 11.79 lakh
Simple payback1.34 years

A sixteen-month payback on a device with a twenty-year life. Power factor correction is routinely the highest-return investment available to an industrial consumer, which is why it is nearly universal wherever the tariff charges for kVA.

The benefit the consumer does not see but the system does:

\[ \text{loss reduction} \propto 1-\left(\frac{\cos\phi_1}{\cos\phi_2}\right)^2 = 1-\left(\frac{0.85}{0.98}\right)^2 = 24.8\% \]

A quarter of the \(I^2R\) loss in every conductor upstream of the capacitor disappears. If the bank is at the incoming supply, that benefit accrues entirely to the utility; if at the motors, the consumer gets it too, in his own cables and transformer. That is the technical argument for distributing the correction rather than concentrating it at the meter.

The economic power factor \(\cos\phi = \sqrt{1-(kc/A)^2}\) depends only on capacitor cost against demand charge — not on the consumer's size, load factor or starting power factor. With any realistic industrial tariff it comes out near unity, and what actually limits correction to 0.95–0.98 is load variation, not economics.
Answer\(\sin\phi_2 = kc/A = 0.0333\), so \(\cos\phi^{\text{opt}} = \mathbf{0.9994}\) — economically, correct almost to unity. In practice 0.98 with a switched bank: 2084 kVAr, Rs 18.75 lakh capital, Rs 14.04 lakh saved a year, payback 1.34 years
Problem 20AdvancedA Complete Supply Study

Bring the chapter together: for the supply area of Problem 1, state every load and plant factor, the recommended plant mix, the cost of supply, a tariff that recovers it, and the consistency checks that confirm the study.

Solution

Step 1 — the load, characterised completely:

QuantityValueSource
Daily energy1610 MWhProblem 1
Annual energy587.65 GWhProblem 1
Maximum demand110 MWProblem 1
Average demand67.083 MWProblem 1
Load factor0.6098Problem 2
Connected load246 MWProblem 4
Demand factor0.4472Problem 4
Diversity factor (groups)1.5164Problem 5

Eight numbers, from which every subsequent decision follows.

Step 2 — the plant, from the screening analysis:

QuantityValueSource
Optimum base capacity85 MWProblem 10
Peaking capacity25 MWProblem 10
Reserve required40 MW (largest unit)Problem 7
Installed capacity150 MWProblem 7
Utilisation factor110/150 = 0.7333Problem 6
Capacity factor0.6098 × 0.7333 = 0.4472Problem 6

Note the last row: with the reserve corrected to 150 MW, the capacity factor falls to 0.4472 — which coincidentally equals the demand factor, a numerical accident of this example rather than any identity.

Step 3 — the cost, with the corrected installed capacity:

ComponentBasisCr/yr
Base plant capital85 MW × Rs 12 Mn102.00
Peaking plant capital65 MW × Rs 2 Mn13.00
Base plant fuel1510 MWh/day × 365 × Rs 2.50137.79
Peaking plant fuel100 MWh/day × 365 × Rs 6.0021.90
Fixed (administration etc.)—8.00
Total—282.69
\[ \text{cost of supply} = \frac{282.69\times10^7}{587.65\times10^6} = \mathbf{Rs\ 4.810/kWh} \]

The reserve capacity has added Rs 8 crore a year, raising the cost of supply by 2.9% over the Problem 10 figure. Reserve is not free, and this is what it costs.

Step 4 — a tariff that recovers it. Splitting the cost into demand-related and energy-related:

\[ \text{demand-related} = 102.00+13.00+8.00 = 123.00\ \text{Cr} \qquad \text{energy-related} = 159.69\ \text{Cr} \]

The demand charge must be recovered from the total billed demand, which by Problem 5 is 166.8 MW, not the system peak of 110 MW:

The tariff:

\[ A = \frac{123.00\times10^7}{166\,800\ \text{kW}/0.90} = \frac{1.23\times10^9}{185\,333} = \text{Rs } 6637/\text{kVA/yr} \]
\[ B = \frac{159.69\times10^7}{587.65\times10^6} = \text{Rs } 2.717/\text{kWh} \]

taking an average system power factor of 0.90. The demand charge is far higher than the Rs 1800/kVA assumed in Problem 15, which is why that tariff under-recovered so badly. Check: \(6637\times185\,333+2.717\times587.65\times10^6 = 123.0+159.7 = \) Rs 282.7 crore ✓.

Step 5 — what consumers pay under the corrected tariff:

ConsumerLF\(\cos\phi\)Average rate (Rs/kWh)
Three-shift industry0.800.983.683
Single-shift industry0.350.855.263
Commercial0.450.904.586
Domestic0.150.958.031
System average0.40220.904.810

using \(\bar c = A/(8760\,\text{LF}\cos\phi)+B\). The system-average row uses the load factor computed on billed demand — \(587.65\times10^6/(166\,800\times8760) = 0.4022\) — not the system load factor of 0.6098, because the demand charge is levied on each consumer's own maximum. The spread is large — the domestic consumer pays 2.2 times the three-shift industrial rate for the same energy. This is cost-reflective and correct, but a domestic tariff of Rs 8/kWh would be politically impossible almost anywhere, which is why domestic supply is cross-subsidised in nearly every system in the world.

Step 6 — the consistency checks. Six identities, each computed by an independent route:

CheckExpectedFound
Hours in the load curve246+2+4+2+4+4+2 = 24 ✓
Area under the LDC1610 MWh1610 ✓ (Problem 3)
Base + peak energy1610 MWh1510+100 = 1610 ✓
\(\text{CF} = \text{LF}\times\text{UF}\)identity0.6098×0.7333 = 0.4472 ✓
Optimum at \(t(C) = h^*\)85 MW8 h/day > 7.83 > 4 h/day ✓
Tariff revenue = costRs 282.69 Cr123.0+159.7 = 282.7 ✓

Every one uses a different route from the quantity it checks, so agreement is evidence and not tautology.

Step 7 — the leverage available. What would most reduce the cost of supply?

MeasureEffect on cost of supply
Raise load factor 0.61 → 0.70−6.4% (spreads capital over more units)
Raise power factor 0.90 → 0.98−1.8% (less plant, fewer losses)
Interconnect (shared reserve)−2.9% (removes the 40 MW reserve)
Reduce peak by 10 MW (demand response)−3.5%
Fuel price −10%−5.6%

Load factor is the largest lever the utility controls, and it is the one every tariff device in this chapter — the demand charge, the kVA basis, time-of-day pricing — exists to pull. Fuel price is larger still but is not within the utility's control at all.

The whole chapter is one chain: the load curve gives the factors, the factors give the plant mix, the plant mix gives the cost, and the cost gives the tariff — which then acts back on the load curve. That feedback loop, from tariff to consumer behaviour to load factor to cost, is the reason tariff design is an engineering subject and not merely an accounting one.
AnswerLF 0.6098, DF 0.4472, DivF 1.5164, CF 0.4472, UF 0.7333. Plant: 85 MW base + 65 MW peaking = 150 MW installed. Cost Rs 282.69 crore/yr = Rs 4.810/kWh. Tariff: Rs 6637/kVA/yr + Rs 2.717/kWh. All six consistency checks pass

Practice Problems

Twelve problems on load characteristics and supply economics. Problems 1–5 refer to a small system whose daily demand is 20 MW for 8 hours, 40 MW for 6 hours, 60 MW for 4 hours and 35 MW for 6 hours. Take a year as 8760 hours throughout.

1. Find the daily energy, average demand and load factor.

Answer

\(E = 8(20)+6(40)+4(60)+6(35) = 160+240+240+210 = \) 850 MWh. Average demand \(= 850/24 = \) 35.417 MW, and \(\text{LF} = 35.417/60 = \) 0.5903. Check the hours: \(8+6+4+6 = 24\) ✓.

2. Construct the load duration curve and verify its area.

Answer

60 MW for 4 h; 40 MW for 10 h; 35 MW for 16 h; 20 MW for 24 h. Area by horizontal strips: \(20(24)+15(16)+5(10)+20(4) = 480+240+50+80 = \) 850 MWh ✓. Note 35 MW appears for 16 hours, not 6 — the duration counts every period at or above the level.

3. The installed capacity is 80 MW. Find the capacity factor and the utilisation factor, and verify the identity between them.

Answer

\(\text{CF} = 850/(80\times24) = \) 0.4427; \(\text{UF} = 60/80 = \) 0.7500. Check: \(\text{LF}\times\text{UF} = 0.5903\times0.7500 = 0.4427\) ✓. The reserve is 20 MW, or 33% of the peak.

4. The connected load is 150 MW. Find the demand factor.

Answer

\(\text{DF} = 60/150 = \) 0.4000. Only 40% of everything installed is ever drawn at once — a typical figure for a mixed system, and it reflects both individual consumers not using everything simultaneously and different consumers peaking at different times.

5. The system serves three consumer groups with maximum demands of 30, 25 and 20 MW. Find the diversity factor.

Answer

\(\text{DivF} = (30+25+20)/60 = 75/60 = \) 1.2500. Fifteen megawatts of plant that never has to be built, because the three groups do not peak together. Note the direction — diversity factor is always ≥ 1, unlike every other factor in this chapter.

6. Base plant costs Rs 15 million per MW per year with running cost Rs 2.00/kWh; peaking plant Rs 3 million per MW per year with running cost Rs 7.00/kWh. Find the break-even utilisation.

Answer

\(h^* = (15-3)\times10^6/\left[(7.00-2.00)\times1000\right] = 12\times10^6/5000 = \) 2400 h/yr = 6.58 h/day. Any capacity level whose duration exceeds 6.58 hours a day should be base plant. Note the factor of 1000: \(F\) is per MW and \(R\) per kWh.

7. A two-part tariff charges Rs 1500 per kVA of maximum demand per year plus Rs 2.50 per kWh. Find the average rate for a consumer at 0.40 load factor and unity power factor, and the load factor at which the average rate is Rs 3.20/kWh.

Answer

\(\bar c = 1500/(8760\times0.40)+2.50 = 0.4281+2.50 = \) Rs 2.928/kWh. For Rs 3.20: \(\text{LF} = (1500/8760)/(3.20-2.50) = 0.17123/0.70 = \) 0.2446. The consumer's size does not enter either calculation.

8. A load of 1200 kW at 0.80 power factor lagging is to be corrected to 0.95. Find the capacitor rating and the reduction in kVA.

Answer

\(\tan\phi_1 = 0.75000\), \(\tan\phi_2 = 0.32868\), so \(Q_C = 1200(0.75000-0.32868) = \) 505.6 kVAr. The apparent power falls from \(1200/0.80 = 1500\) kVA to \(1200/0.95 = 1263\) kVA — a saving of 237 kVA, or 0.469 kVA per kVAr installed.

9. Capacitors cost Rs 600 per kVAr with a 10% annual charge, and the demand charge is Rs 1000 per kVA per year. Find the economic power factor.

Answer

\(\sin\phi = kc/A = (0.10\times600)/1000 = 0.0600\), so \(\cos\phi = \sqrt{1-0.06^2} = \) 0.9982. Economically, correct almost to unity. What limits real installations to 0.95–0.98 is load variation and harmonic resonance, not the economics.

10. A system's peak demand is 200 MW and grows at 4% a year. Find the doubling time and the peak after 8 years.

Answer

Doubling time \(= \ln2/\ln1.04 = \) 17.67 years (the rule of 72 gives 18, correct to 2%). After 8 years: \(200\times1.04^8 = 200\times1.3686 = \) 273.7 MW — an extra 74 MW to be built and commissioned within eight years.

11. A system has a capacity factor of 0.55 and a load factor of 0.75. Find the utilisation factor and the installed capacity as a multiple of the maximum demand.

Answer

From \(\text{CF} = \text{LF}\times\text{UF}\): \(\text{UF} = 0.55/0.75 = \) 0.7333. Installed capacity \(= P_{\max}/0.7333 = \) 1.364 \(P_{\max}\), i.e. a reserve margin of 36.4%.

12. A consumer with a 5000 kW maximum demand at 0.90 power factor and 0.60 load factor is billed at Rs 2000 per kVA per year plus Rs 2.40 per kWh. Find the annual bill and the average rate.

Answer

\(\text{kVA} = 5000/0.90 = 5556\); \(\text{kWh} = 5000\times8760\times0.60 = 26.28\) million. Bill \(= 2000(5556)+2.40(26.28\times10^6) = 1.111+6.307 = \) Rs 7.418 crore, and the average rate is Rs 2.823/kWh. Check with the formula: \(2000/(8760\times0.60\times0.90)+2.40 = 0.4228+2.40 = 2.823\) ✓.

Challenge Problems

Three extended investigations: extending the plant-mix method to three plant types, designing a time-of-day tariff from marginal costs, and quantifying the two economies of interconnection.

Challenge 1Three-Plant Mix

Extend the plant-mix analysis to three types: coal (Rs 12 Mn/MW/yr, Rs 2.50/kWh), combined-cycle gas (Rs 6 Mn/MW/yr, Rs 4.00/kWh) and open-cycle gas (Rs 2 Mn/MW/yr, Rs 6.00/kWh). Find the optimum mix for the system of Problem 1 and the saving over the two-plant solution.

Two break-even durations, one for each adjacent pair:

\[ h^*_{\text{coal/CCGT}} = \frac{(12-6)\times10^6}{(4.00-2.50)\times1000} = 4000\ \text{h/yr} = \mathbf{10.96\ h/day} \]
\[ h^*_{\text{CCGT/OCGT}} = \frac{(6-2)\times10^6}{(6.00-4.00)\times1000} = 2000\ \text{h/yr} = \mathbf{5.48\ h/day} \]

Since 10.96 > 5.48, the ordering is consistent and all three plant types are economic somewhere — none is dominated.

Read the boundaries off the load duration curve. The duration at a capacity level \(C\) is the time the demand is at or above \(C\):

Capacity band (MW)Duration (h/day)vs 10.96vs 5.48Plant
0–3024>—coal
30–4518>—coal
45–5016>—coal
50–7014>—coal
70–8012>—coal
80–858<>CCGT
85–1104<<OCGT

The optimum mix is therefore 80 MW coal, 5 MW CCGT, 25 MW OCGT. Note that the coal boundary is at 80 MW, not 70 — the band from 70 to 80 MW has a duration of 12 hours, which still exceeds 10.96.

Confirm by direct cost evaluation. Searching over all admissible pairs of boundaries:

Coal (MW)CCGT (MW)OCGT (MW)Annual cost (Cr)
602525268.11
701525266.45
80525265.88
85025266.69
701030267.37
70400269.15

The minimum is Rs 265.88 crore at 80/5/25, matching the graphical reading exactly. The fourth row is the two-plant solution of Problem 10 (coal and OCGT only), at Rs 266.69 crore.

The saving is disappointing:

\[ 266.69-265.88 = \mathbf{Rs\ 0.81\ crore/year} = \mathbf{0.30\%} \]
\[ \text{average cost of supply: } 4.538 \to \mathbf{Rs\ 4.524/kWh} \]

Adding a whole third plant type saves three-tenths of one per cent. The reason is visible in the boundary table: the CCGT band is only 5 MW wide, because this load duration curve happens to have no substantial region with a duration between 5.48 and 10.96 hours a day.

When would a third type earn its place? When the duration curve has a long middle section:

Load shapeMiddle band widthValue of mid-merit plant
Flat (high LF, industrial)narrowlow — all base
Two-level (day/night)narrowlow — base plus peaking
Smoothly varying (real annual curve)widehigh
Very peaky (low LF)narrowlow — mostly peaking

The staircase curve used here is an artefact of the seven-block idealisation. A real annual load duration curve built from 8760 hourly points is smooth, has substantial capacity at every duration, and typically gives the mid-merit band 25–40% of the peak — where a third plant type saves 3–8%, not 0.3%.

The general result for \(n\) plant types:

\[ h^*_{i,i+1} = \frac{F_i-F_{i+1}}{(R_{i+1}-R_i)\times1000}, \qquad i = 1\ldots n-1 \]
\[ \text{capacity of type } i = t^{-1}\!\left(h^*_{i-1,i}\right)-t^{-1}\!\left(h^*_{i,i+1}\right) \]

where \(t^{-1}\) reads the load duration curve backwards — from a duration to a capacity level. Order the plants by decreasing fixed cost, check that the break-evens come out increasing (or discard the dominated types), and read \(n-1\) points off one curve. The method scales to any number of plant types without becoming harder.

Adding a third plant type saves 0.3% here — because this idealised duration curve has almost no capacity in the mid-merit band. The value of mid-merit plant is entirely a property of the shape of the curve between the two break-even durations, and a real annual curve has far more of it than a seven-block idealisation.
AnswerBreak-evens at 10.96 and 5.48 h/day give 80 MW coal, 5 MW CCGT, 25 MW OCGT at Rs 265.88 crore/yr = Rs 4.524/kWh — a saving of Rs 0.81 crore (0.30%) over the two-plant optimum
Challenge 2Time-of-Day Tariff

Design a time-of-day tariff for this system from marginal cost, and evaluate the benefit if it induces 10 MW of load to move from the evening peak into the overnight trough.

The principle. The economically correct price at any instant is the short-run marginal cost — the cost of supplying one more kilowatt-hour then:

\[ \text{price}(t) = \text{running cost of the marginal plant at time } t \ + \ \text{capacity cost, if at the peak} \]

The second term appears only in the hours that determine how much plant must be built. In all other hours the capacity is there anyway and its cost is sunk.

Identify the marginal plant in each period, using the optimum mix of Challenge 1 (80 MW coal, 5 MW CCGT, 25 MW OCGT):

PeriodDemandMarginal plantRunning cost
00:00–06:0030coal2.50
06:00–08:0050coal2.50
08:00–12:0080coal2.50
12:00–14:0070coal2.50
14:00–18:0085CCGT4.00
18:00–22:00110OCGT6.00
22:00–24:0045coal2.50

Three distinct marginal costs, which is exactly the number of tariff periods the system needs. The structure of the tariff is dictated by the plant mix, not chosen.

Add the capacity cost to the peak period. The OCGT capital is recovered over its 1460 running hours a year:

\[ \frac{2.0\times10^6\ \text{Rs/MW/yr}}{1460\ \text{h/yr}\times1000\ \text{kW/MW}} = \mathbf{Rs\ 1.370/kWh} \]

This is the marginal capacity cost: one more kilowatt of peak demand requires one more kilowatt of OCGT, and the only hours in which to recover it are the peak hours.

The tariff:

PeriodHoursRate (Rs/kWh)Ratio to off-peak
Off-peak22:00–14:00 (16 h)2.501.00
Shoulder14:00–18:00 (4 h)4.001.60
Peak18:00–22:00 (4 h)7.372.95

A peak-to-off-peak ratio of nearly 3:1. Real time-of-day tariffs use ratios of 2:1 to 4:1, so this is squarely typical — the arithmetic reproduces what utilities actually charge, which is a reassuring check on the method.

The consumer's response. Suppose 10 MW moves from the peak to the trough:

\[ \text{energy moved} = 10\ \text{MW}\times4\ \text{h} = 40\ \text{MWh/day} \]
PeriodBeforeAfter
00:00–06:0030 MW40 MW
18:00–22:00110 MW100 MW
Peak demand110 MW100 MW
Load factor0.60980.6792

The daily energy is unchanged at 1610 MWh, but the peak falls 9% and the load factor rises 11%. Note the trough rises from 30 to 40 MW, which also raises the minimum demand and therefore the base plant that can run continuously.

The benefit, in two parts:

\[ \text{fuel: } 40\ \text{MWh/day}\times(6.00-2.50)\times365\times1000 = \mathbf{Rs\ 5.110\ crore/yr} \]
\[ \text{capacity: } 10\ \text{MW}\times2.0\times10^6 = \mathbf{Rs\ 2.000\ crore/yr} \]
\[ \text{total} = \mathbf{Rs\ 7.11\ crore/yr} = \mathbf{2.67\%} \text{ of the cost of supply} \]

Nearly 3% of total system cost, from moving 2.5% of the energy. That leverage — a small energy shift producing a large cost saving — is what makes demand-side management worth paying for.

How much is it worth paying consumers to shift? The utility can afford up to:

\[ \frac{7.11\times10^7}{40\times365\times1000\ \text{kWh}} = \text{Rs } 4.87/\text{kWh moved} \]

Which is comfortably more than the Rs 4.87 differential the tariff already offers (7.37 − 2.50). So the tariff as designed is very slightly under-priced relative to the full benefit — it recovers the marginal fuel and marginal capacity cost but not the reduced reserve requirement, which falls too as the peak falls.

The practical difficulties, none of them arithmetic:

DifficultyComment
Meteringneeds a time-of-use meter — now standard, historically not
Elasticity is unknownthe 10 MW shift is an assumption, not a prediction
Reboundshifted load may create a new peak in the trough
Periods must be fixed in advancethe real peak hour moves seasonally
Equityconsumers unable to shift pay more

The third is the one that actually bites. If enough load shifts into the 00:00–06:00 window it becomes the new peak — and with electric vehicles set to charge at the cheapest hour, several systems have already seen exactly this. Real-time or dynamic pricing avoids it by construction; fixed-period tariffs do not.

The tariff structure falls straight out of the plant mix: three plant types on the margin at different hours means three tariff periods, at 2.50, 4.00 and 7.37 Rs/kWh. Moving 2.5% of the energy off the peak saves 2.7% of total system cost — which is the leverage that justifies the whole apparatus of demand-side management.
AnswerOff-peak Rs 2.50, shoulder Rs 4.00, peak Rs 7.37/kWh (including Rs 1.370 of marginal capacity cost). A 10 MW shift saves Rs 5.11 crore of fuel and Rs 2.00 crore of capacity — Rs 7.11 crore/yr, 2.67% — and raises the load factor from 0.6098 to 0.6792
Challenge 3The Two Economies of Interconnection

A neighbouring industrial area has a daily demand of 60 MW (00–06), 75 (06–08), 100 (08–12), 90 (12–14), 95 (14–18), 60 (18–22) and 60 MW (22–24). Both systems have a largest unit of 40 MW. Quantify the two separate benefits of interconnecting them.

Characterise the second system. Its peak is at 08:00–12:00, not in the evening:

\[ E_B = 6(60)+2(75)+4(100)+2(90)+4(95)+4(60)+2(60) = \mathbf{1830\ MWh} \]
\[ P_{\max,B} = 100\ \text{MW at }08\text{--}12, \qquad \text{LF}_B = \frac{1830}{100\times24} = \mathbf{0.7625} \]

A much flatter curve than system A's, as an industrial area's should be — and, crucially, peaking at a completely different time of day.

The combined load curve:

PeriodA (MW)B (MW)A+B (MW)
00–06306090
06–085075125
08–1280100180
12–147090160
14–188595180
18–2211060170
22–244560105

The combined peak is 180 MW, not at either system's own peak hour but in the daytime periods where both are substantially loaded. Note that A's evening peak of 110 MW coincides with B's minimum of 60 MW, which is exactly the complementarity that makes interconnection valuable.

Benefit 1 — diversity. The combined peak is less than the sum of the peaks:

\[ \text{DivF} = \frac{110+100}{180} = \mathbf{1.1667} \qquad \text{capacity saved} = 210-180 = \mathbf{30\ MW} \]
\[ \text{combined LF} = \frac{3440}{180\times24} = \mathbf{0.7963} \quad\text{against } 0.6098 \text{ and } 0.7625 \]

The combined load factor exceeds both individual load factors — a general result whenever the peaks do not coincide, and one of the most useful facts in system planning.

Benefit 2 — shared reserve. Separately, each system must carry its own largest unit:

ArrangementPeakReserveInstalled
A alone11040150
B alone10040140
Separate total21080290
Interconnected18040220
Saved304070 MW

Interconnected, only one largest unit can fail at a time, so only one unit's worth of reserve is needed. The reserve saving of 40 MW exceeds the diversity saving of 30 MW — which is the point that is usually missed.

The two benefits valued. Taking the marginal capacity as peaking plant at Rs 2 million/MW/yr:

BenefitCapacityAnnual value
Diversity30 MWRs 6.00 crore
Shared reserve40 MWRs 8.00 crore
Total70 MWRs 14.00 crore/yr

Rs 14 crore a year, which would justify a considerable investment in the interconnector. And this counts only the capacity benefits — the energy benefit of despatching the cheapest plant across both systems is additional, and on systems with different fuel mixes it is often larger still.

Why the reserve benefit is the larger, and why it grows with the number of systems:

\[ \text{reserve for } n \text{ identical interconnected systems} \approx \text{one largest unit, not } n \]

Diversity benefit saturates — once the peaks are fully decorrelated, no further gain is available. Reserve benefit does not: the tenth system to join a pool still adds only its energy requirement, not another unit of reserve. This asymmetry is why interconnection benefits keep growing with the size of the pool, and it is the technical basis for the continental-scale synchronous areas of Europe and North America.

What the interconnector must be rated for, since it is not free:

\[ \text{maximum transfer} = \max_t\left|P_A(t)-\text{A's share of the combined despatch}\right| \]

In the evening peak, A needs 110 MW while B needs only 60; if plant is despatched by economic merit across the pool, tens of megawatts may flow from B to A at 19:00 and back at 10:00. A 50 MW interconnector would cover the exchange here. It must also be rated to carry the reserve: if A's 40 MW unit trips at the evening peak, 40 MW must flow instantly from B — which is the binding case, and it is why interconnector ratings are usually set by reserve support rather than by economic exchange.

Interconnection has two distinct capacity benefits, and the reserve saving (40 MW) exceeds the diversity saving (30 MW) here. Diversity saturates once the peaks are decorrelated; reserve sharing does not, which is why the benefits of pooling keep growing with the size of the pool.
AnswerCombined peak 180 MW against 210 MW separately — diversity factor 1.1667, saving 30 MW; shared reserve saves a further 40 MW. Installed capacity falls from 290 to 220 MW, worth Rs 14 crore/year, and the combined load factor of 0.7963 exceeds both systems' own
Self-Test

Multiple-Choice Questions

  1. MCQ 1. Load factor is defined as:
    (a) maximum demand / connected load   (b) average demand / maximum demand   (c) energy / installed capacity × time   (d) sum of individual maxima / system maximum

    Show answer
    (b). Answer (a) is the demand factor, (c) the capacity factor and (d) the diversity factor — the four are routinely confused and each answers a different question. Problems 2, 4, 5, 6.
  2. MCQ 2. Diversity factor is:
    (a) always less than 1   (b) always greater than 1   (c) equal to 1   (d) sometimes either

    Show answer
    (b), because the sum of individual maxima cannot be less than the maximum of the sum. It is the only factor in this chapter that exceeds unity, and its reciprocal is called the coincidence factor. Problem 5.
  3. MCQ 3. Capacity factor and load factor are related by:
    (a) CF = LF   (b) CF = LF × utilisation factor   (c) CF = LF / demand factor   (d) they are unrelated

    Show answer
    (b). It follows immediately from the definitions, and implies that capacity factor can never exceed load factor — with equality only when there is no reserve at all. Problem 6.
  4. MCQ 4. The load duration curve preserves:
    (a) the time of day of the peak   (b) the ramp rates   (c) the total energy   (d) all of these

    Show answer
    (c). Reordering by magnitude keeps the energy, the maximum and the minimum, and destroys everything about when. That loss is what makes it the right curve for plant mix and the wrong one for scheduling. Problem 3.
  5. MCQ 5. The slope of base-load energy with respect to base capacity equals:
    (a) the load factor   (b) the duration at that capacity level   (c) the capacity factor   (d) unity

    Show answer
    (b). One more megawatt of base capacity earns exactly the hours per day the load spends at or above that level — which is what makes the plant-mix optimum a reading off the curve rather than a search. Problem 8.
  6. MCQ 6. Base-load plant is characterised by:
    (a) low capital and high running cost   (b) high capital and low running cost   (c) low capital and low running cost   (d) fast starting

    Show answer
    (b). High capital must be recovered over many running hours, so the plant is designed for efficiency rather than flexibility — which in turn makes it slow to start and unsuited to cycling. Problem 9.
  7. MCQ 7. The break-even utilisation between two plant types depends on:
    (a) the load duration curve   (b) the cost data only   (c) the load factor   (d) the installed capacity

    Show answer
    (b) — \(h^* = (F_1-F_2)/(R_2-R_1)\). The load curve decides how many megawatts fall on each side of \(h^*\), but not where it is. That separation is what makes the screening-curve method general. Problem 11.
  8. MCQ 8. Under a two-part tariff, the average rate per kWh depends on:
    (a) the consumer's size   (b) the consumer's load factor only   (c) the maximum demand only   (d) the energy only

    Show answer
    (b) — \(\bar c = A/(8760\,\text{LF})+B\), in which the maximum demand cancels entirely. A large and a small consumer with the same load factor pay the same rate, which is exactly the property that makes the tariff fair. Problem 15.
  9. MCQ 9. The demand charge is levied on kVA rather than kW because:
    (a) kVA is easier to meter   (b) electrical plant is current-limited, hence kVA-rated   (c) it raises more revenue   (d) of statutory requirement

    Show answer
    (b). Generators, transformers and cables are all limited by \(I^2R\) heating, and current is set by kVA. Only the turbine is rated in kW. A kVA charge is therefore an accurate bill, not a penalty. Problem 17.
  10. MCQ 10. To correct a load of \(P\) kW from \(\cos\phi_1\) to \(\cos\phi_2\) requires a capacitor of:
    (a) \(P(\cos\phi_1-\cos\phi_2)\)   (b) \(P(\tan\phi_1-\tan\phi_2)\)   (c) \(P(\sec\phi_1-\sec\phi_2)\)   (d) \(P(\sin\phi_1-\sin\phi_2)\)

    Show answer
    (b). The real power is unchanged and the reactive power falls from \(P\tan\phi_1\) to \(P\tan\phi_2\); the capacitor supplies the difference. Answer (c) gives the reduction in kVA, not kVAr. Problem 18.
  11. MCQ 11. The economic power factor \(\cos\phi = \sqrt{1-(kc/A)^2}\) depends on:
    (a) the consumer's load factor   (b) the consumer's size   (c) capacitor cost and demand charge only   (d) the initial power factor

    Show answer
    (c). Both the saving and the capacitor cost are proportional to \(P\), so size cancels; and the optimality condition \(\sin\phi_2 = kc/A\) contains neither \(\phi_1\) nor the load factor. Problem 19.
  12. MCQ 12. Interconnecting two systems whose peaks occur at different times saves capacity through:
    (a) diversity only   (b) shared reserve only   (c) both, and the reserve saving can be the larger   (d) neither

    Show answer
    (c). In the worked example diversity saved 30 MW and shared reserve 40 MW. Diversity saturates once the peaks are decorrelated; reserve sharing keeps growing with the size of the pool. Challenge 3.
Reference

Key Formulas

The load factors — properties of the demand:

\[ \text{LF} = \frac{P_{\text{av}}}{P_{\max}} = \frac{E}{P_{\max}T} \qquad \text{DF} = \frac{P_{\max}}{\text{connected load}} \]
\[ \text{Diversity factor} = \frac{\sum\text{individual maxima}}{\text{system maximum}} \ \ge 1 \qquad \text{Coincidence factor} = \frac{1}{\text{DivF}} \]

The plant factors — properties of the generation:

\[ \text{CF} = \frac{E}{P_{\text{inst}}T} \qquad \text{UF} = \frac{P_{\max}}{P_{\text{inst}}} \qquad \text{PUF} = \frac{E}{P_{\text{in service}}\,T_{\text{in service}}} \]
\[ \boxed{\ \text{CF} = \text{LF}\times\text{UF}\ } \qquad \text{reserve margin} = \frac{P_{\text{inst}}-P_{\max}}{P_{\max}} \]

The load duration curve:

\[ t(P) = \text{time the demand is at or above } P \qquad E = \int_0^{P_{\max}}t(P)\,dP \]
\[ \frac{d}{dC}\left(\text{base energy}\right) = t(C) \qquad \text{LF} = \frac{\text{area under LDC}}{P_{\max}T} \]

Plant mix:

\[ \text{annual cost per MW} = F+R\,h \qquad h^* = \frac{F_1-F_2}{(R_2-R_1)\times1000}\ \text{h/yr} \]
\[ \text{build base plant where } t(C) > h^*, \ \text{peaking where } t(C) < h^* \]

For \(n\) plant types ordered by decreasing \(F\), there are \(n-1\) break-even durations; a type whose break-evens come out in the wrong order is dominated and should not be built.

Cost of supply and tariffs:

\[ \text{annual cost} = a + b\,P_{\max} + c\,E \]
\[ \text{two-part: } C = A\,(\text{kVA of MD})+B\,(\text{kWh}) \qquad \bar c = \frac{A}{8760\,\text{LF}\cos\phi}+B \]

The maximum demand cancels from \(\bar c\): the average rate depends only on \(\text{LF}\times\cos\phi\), never on the consumer's size.

Power factor:

\[ \text{kVA} = \frac{\text{kW}}{\cos\phi} \qquad Q = P\tan\phi \qquad \frac{\text{loss}}{\text{loss at unity}} = \frac{1}{\cos^2\phi} \]
\[ Q_C = P\left(\tan\phi_1-\tan\phi_2\right) \qquad \text{annual saving} = A\,P\left(\frac{1}{\cos\phi_1}-\frac{1}{\cos\phi_2}\right) \]
\[ \boxed{\ \sin\phi_2^{\text{opt}} = \frac{k\,c}{A} \quad\Rightarrow\quad \cos\phi_2^{\text{opt}} = \sqrt{1-\left(\frac{k\,c}{A}\right)^2}\ } \]

with \(c\) the capacitor cost per kVAr, \(k\) the annual charge rate and \(A\) the demand charge per kVA per year.

Growth and interconnection:

\[ P(n) = P_0(1+g)^n \qquad \text{doubling time} = \frac{\ln2}{\ln(1+g)} \approx \frac{72}{100g} \]
\[ \text{capacity saved by interconnection} = \underbrace{\textstyle\sum P_{\max,i}-P_{\max,\text{combined}}}_{\text{diversity}}+\underbrace{(n-1)\times\text{largest unit}}_{\text{shared reserve}} \]
Diagnostics

Common Mistakes

  1. Confusing the four factors. Load and demand factors describe the consumers; capacity and utilisation factors describe the plant. A question about one group is never answered by a factor from the other — Problems 2, 4, 6.

  2. Taking the average demand as the mean of the demand levels. It is the energy divided by the period; the levels have different durations and cannot simply be averaged — Problem 1.

  3. Expecting the diversity factor to be less than 1. It is the only factor in the chapter that exceeds unity — Problem 5.

  4. Reading the load duration curve as a chronological curve. "80 MW for 12 hours" does not mean twelve consecutive hours, and for plant with a six-hour start time that distinction is decisive — Problem 3.

  5. Omitting the factor of 1000 in the break-even formula. \(F\) is per MW and \(R\) per kWh; forgetting the conversion changes \(h^*\) by three orders of magnitude — Problems 9, 11.

  6. Sizing reserve as a percentage of peak. The binding test is the largest single unit: 18% of the peak here is only half the largest unit — Problem 7.

  7. Assuming a plant with a low capacity factor is performing badly. A peaking unit with 100% availability and a capacity factor of 0.05 is doing exactly its job — Problem 6.

  8. Believing the plant-mix optimum needs to be precise. The cost surface here is flat to within 1% over 80–90 MW, and the asymmetry (all-base costs 4.6% too much, all-peaking 40.5%) matters far more than the precision — Problem 10.

  9. Charging for energy alone. Two consumers taking identical energy at load factors of 0.80 and 0.20 impose very different capacity costs; an energy-only tariff makes the first subsidise the second — Problem 14.

  10. Using \(\cos\phi_1-\cos\phi_2\) to size a capacitor. It is \(\tan\phi_1-\tan\phi_2\) — the reactive powers subtract, not the power factors — Problem 18.

  11. Correcting the power factor to unity. The return diminishes sharply above 0.95, and a fixed bank sized for full-load unity correction over-corrects badly at light load — Problems 18, 19.

  12. Setting a tariff from the system peak rather than the billed demand. Diversity means the sum of consumers' own maxima (166.8 MW) far exceeds the system peak (110 MW), and the demand charge is levied on the former — Problems 15, 20.

Looking Ahead

This chapter decided what to build: 85 MW of base plant and 25 MW of peaking, plus reserve, to serve a load with a 0.61 load factor at a cost of Rs 4.81 per kilowatt-hour. It treated each plant type as a single block with one running cost, which was enough to settle the capacity question.

Sets 27 and 28 take the plant as given and ask the operating question: with several units already built and running, each with its own cost characteristic, how should a given total demand be shared between them minute by minute? The answer turns on incremental cost rather than average cost, and the condition is the equal-incremental-cost rule — that at the optimum every unit is operating at the same incremental cost, subject to its own generation limits. Set 27 establishes that rule and applies it to units at a single station; Set 28 removes the assumption that transmission is lossless, and shows how the loss formula and its penalty factors modify the allocation when the units are separated by a network — which brings the load-flow machinery of Part 4 back into the economics.